Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park recorded a minimum temperature of 56–57°F on June 1, 2026, driving the market’s 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome aligns with ensemble forecasts showing stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and typical early-June radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter overnight lows. Historical climatology places average June minima near 59°F, providing additional context for the result. A shift in observed data from primary stations or revised quality-control adjustments could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 1?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 1?
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$29,385 Vol.
$29,385 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$29,385 Vol.
$29,385 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
51°F or below
$3,873 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$2,848 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$5,620 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$4,550 Vol.
Yes
58-59°F
$3,325 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$3,177 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,810 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$1,405 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,266 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$420 Vol.
No
70°F or higher
$1,092 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park recorded a minimum temperature of 56–57°F on June 1, 2026, driving the market’s 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome aligns with ensemble forecasts showing stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and typical early-June radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter overnight lows. Historical climatology places average June minima near 59°F, providing additional context for the result. A shift in observed data from primary stations or revised quality-control adjustments could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$29,385End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park recorded a minimum temperature of 56–57°F on June 1, 2026, driving the market’s 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome aligns with ensemble forecasts showing stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and typical early-June radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter overnight lows. Historical climatology places average June minima near 59°F, providing additional context for the result. A shift in observed data from primary stations or revised quality-control adjustments could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,385End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park recorded a minimum temperature of 56–57°F on June 1, 2026, driving the market’s 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome aligns with ensemble forecasts showing stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and typical early-June radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter overnight lows. Historical climatology places average June minima near 59°F, providing additional context for the result. A shift in observed data from primary stations or revised quality-control adjustments could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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