**Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, point to an overnight low of 25–26°C on September 19, shaped by persistent tropical humidity, light winds, and typical September cloud patterns that limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show dew points near 24–26°C and minimal diurnal temperature swings, consistent with climatological baselines of 23–25°C lows for the month. Minor model differences in predicted cloud cover or brief showers create the tight spread between the leading 26°C (51.5%) and 25°C (47.0%) outcomes. Higher probabilities on 30°C+ likely reflect trader focus on daytime maxima or resolution edge cases, while lower tails remain improbable given stable steering patterns and absence of cold-air intrusions. Updated NHC or local meteorological service guidance on overnight conditions will be the next key input.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 19?
28°C 97%
24°C 96%
27°C 92%
23°C 89%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
89%
24°C
96%
25°C
67%
26°C
51%
27°C
92%
28°C
97%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
86%
28°C 97%
24°C 96%
27°C 92%
23°C 89%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$566 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
89%
24°C
$0 Vol.
96%
25°C
$0 Vol.
67%
26°C
$14 Vol.
51%
27°C
$0 Vol.
92%
28°C
$0 Vol.
97%
29°C
$0 Vol.
13%
30°C or higher
$200 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, point to an overnight low of 25–26°C on September 19, shaped by persistent tropical humidity, light winds, and typical September cloud patterns that limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show dew points near 24–26°C and minimal diurnal temperature swings, consistent with climatological baselines of 23–25°C lows for the month. Minor model differences in predicted cloud cover or brief showers create the tight spread between the leading 26°C (51.5%) and 25°C (47.0%) outcomes. Higher probabilities on 30°C+ likely reflect trader focus on daytime maxima or resolution edge cases, while lower tails remain improbable given stable steering patterns and absence of cold-air intrusions. Updated NHC or local meteorological service guidance on overnight conditions will be the next key input.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$780End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, point to an overnight low of 25–26°C on September 19, shaped by persistent tropical humidity, light winds, and typical September cloud patterns that limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show dew points near 24–26°C and minimal diurnal temperature swings, consistent with climatological baselines of 23–25°C lows for the month. Minor model differences in predicted cloud cover or brief showers create the tight spread between the leading 26°C (51.5%) and 25°C (47.0%) outcomes. Higher probabilities on 30°C+ likely reflect trader focus on daytime maxima or resolution edge cases, while lower tails remain improbable given stable steering patterns and absence of cold-air intrusions. Updated NHC or local meteorological service guidance on overnight conditions will be the next key input.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$780End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, point to an overnight low of 25–26°C on September 19, shaped by persistent tropical humidity, light winds, and typical September cloud patterns that limit radiative cooling.** Recent observations show dew points near 24–26°C and minimal diurnal temperature swings, consistent with climatological baselines of 23–25°C lows for the month. Minor model differences in predicted cloud cover or brief showers create the tight spread between the leading 26°C (51.5%) and 25°C (47.0%) outcomes. Higher probabilities on 30°C+ likely reflect trader focus on daytime maxima or resolution edge cases, while lower tails remain improbable given stable steering patterns and absence of cold-air intrusions. Updated NHC or local meteorological service guidance on overnight conditions will be the next key input.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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