**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C low (51.5% implied probability) for Panama City, Panama, on September 20, with notable support for 30°C or higher (40.5%).** This positioning reflects National Meteorological Service and model guidance showing typical late-rainy-season overnight minima of 24–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent high humidity (near 80–90%) and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping the floor above historical September averages in some runs, while any clearer overnight periods could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Recent stable atmospheric conditions without strong cold fronts or unusual wind shifts have reinforced this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest short-range model consensus and real-time observations heavily as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 20?
30°C or higher 98%
26°C 60%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
29%
26°C
51%
27°C
40%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C or higher
98%
30°C or higher 98%
26°C 60%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$678 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$141 Vol.
29%
26°C
$167 Vol.
51%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C low (51.5% implied probability) for Panama City, Panama, on September 20, with notable support for 30°C or higher (40.5%).** This positioning reflects National Meteorological Service and model guidance showing typical late-rainy-season overnight minima of 24–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent high humidity (near 80–90%) and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping the floor above historical September averages in some runs, while any clearer overnight periods could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Recent stable atmospheric conditions without strong cold fronts or unusual wind shifts have reinforced this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest short-range model consensus and real-time observations heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$990End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C low (51.5% implied probability) for Panama City, Panama, on September 20, with notable support for 30°C or higher (40.5%).** This positioning reflects National Meteorological Service and model guidance showing typical late-rainy-season overnight minima of 24–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent high humidity (near 80–90%) and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping the floor above historical September averages in some runs, while any clearer overnight periods could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Recent stable atmospheric conditions without strong cold fronts or unusual wind shifts have reinforced this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest short-range model consensus and real-time observations heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$990End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C low (51.5% implied probability) for Panama City, Panama, on September 20, with notable support for 30°C or higher (40.5%).** This positioning reflects National Meteorological Service and model guidance showing typical late-rainy-season overnight minima of 24–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent high humidity (near 80–90%) and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping the floor above historical September averages in some runs, while any clearer overnight periods could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Recent stable atmospheric conditions without strong cold fronts or unusual wind shifts have reinforced this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest short-range model consensus and real-time observations heavily as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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