Official observations from Météo-France confirm that the minimum temperature in Paris on June 1 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This outcome fits within the typical early-June climatological range for the city, where overnight lows commonly fall between 11°C and 16°C based on long-term station data, with 14°C near the recent median. Model guidance ahead of the date had indicated stable high-pressure conditions supporting such values without significant nocturnal cooling or warming anomalies. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event revisions to the official record from the primary Paris-Montsouris station or discrepancies arising from microscale variations across the urban area.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on June 1?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 1?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$20,859 Vol.
$20,859 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$20,859 Vol.
$20,859 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
8°C or below
$525 Vol.
No
9°C
$505 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,428 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,122 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,252 Vol.
No
13°C
$5,069 Vol.
No
14°C
$4,186 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$1,037 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,274 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,396 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$1,065 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Météo-France confirm that the minimum temperature in Paris on June 1 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This outcome fits within the typical early-June climatological range for the city, where overnight lows commonly fall between 11°C and 16°C based on long-term station data, with 14°C near the recent median. Model guidance ahead of the date had indicated stable high-pressure conditions supporting such values without significant nocturnal cooling or warming anomalies. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event revisions to the official record from the primary Paris-Montsouris station or discrepancies arising from microscale variations across the urban area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 30, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Volume
$20,859End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Météo-France confirm that the minimum temperature in Paris on June 1 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This outcome fits within the typical early-June climatological range for the city, where overnight lows commonly fall between 11°C and 16°C based on long-term station data, with 14°C near the recent median. Model guidance ahead of the date had indicated stable high-pressure conditions supporting such values without significant nocturnal cooling or warming anomalies. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event revisions to the official record from the primary Paris-Montsouris station or discrepancies arising from microscale variations across the urban area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,859End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Météo-France confirm that the minimum temperature in Paris on June 1 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. This outcome fits within the typical early-June climatological range for the city, where overnight lows commonly fall between 11°C and 16°C based on long-term station data, with 14°C near the recent median. Model guidance ahead of the date had indicated stable high-pressure conditions supporting such values without significant nocturnal cooling or warming anomalies. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event revisions to the official record from the primary Paris-Montsouris station or discrepancies arising from microscale variations across the urban area.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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