Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project Shanghai’s minimum temperature on June 2 to reach exactly 24°C overnight, aligning with current model consensus and observed conditions under mostly cloudy, humid summer patterns. This positions the 24°C outcome as the clear market favorite because recent data releases and ensemble runs show no significant cooling influence from regional airflow or precipitation. Typical June climatology features average lows near 20–23°C, yet the present steering pattern and surface observations support a warmer floor. Resolution hinges on verified station readings; shifts in final model guidance or localized measurement variations could still alter the recorded low before the day closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 2?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$21,983 Vol.
$21,983 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$21,983 Vol.
$21,983 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 31, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project Shanghai’s minimum temperature on June 2 to reach exactly 24°C overnight, aligning with current model consensus and observed conditions under mostly cloudy, humid summer patterns. This positions the 24°C outcome as the clear market favorite because recent data releases and ensemble runs show no significant cooling influence from regional airflow or precipitation. Typical June climatology features average lows near 20–23°C, yet the present steering pattern and surface observations support a warmer floor. Resolution hinges on verified station readings; shifts in final model guidance or localized measurement variations could still alter the recorded low before the day closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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