Current meteorological conditions support the market's overwhelming 100% consensus on a 19°C low for Tokyo on June 4, reflecting observed overnight stabilization near seasonal norms for early June. Official guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency shows persistent mild air masses with average minimums around 19–20°C, limited nocturnal cooling under typical humidity and light winds, and no active fronts or anomalous pressure systems to drive sharper drops. Historical baselines for the first week of June align closely with this range, reinforcing trader alignment on this exact threshold. A sudden shift in steering patterns or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling could push readings lower, though model consensus indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 4?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 4?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,864 Vol.
$20,864 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,864 Vol.
$20,864 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
13°C or below
$902 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,579 Vol.
No
15°C
$546 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,522 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,597 Vol.
No
18°C
$974 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,377 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$3,060 Vol.
No
21°C
$787 Vol.
No
22°C
$87 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$1,434 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions support the market's overwhelming 100% consensus on a 19°C low for Tokyo on June 4, reflecting observed overnight stabilization near seasonal norms for early June. Official guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency shows persistent mild air masses with average minimums around 19–20°C, limited nocturnal cooling under typical humidity and light winds, and no active fronts or anomalous pressure systems to drive sharper drops. Historical baselines for the first week of June align closely with this range, reinforcing trader alignment on this exact threshold. A sudden shift in steering patterns or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling could push readings lower, though model consensus indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$20,864End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions support the market's overwhelming 100% consensus on a 19°C low for Tokyo on June 4, reflecting observed overnight stabilization near seasonal norms for early June. Official guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency shows persistent mild air masses with average minimums around 19–20°C, limited nocturnal cooling under typical humidity and light winds, and no active fronts or anomalous pressure systems to drive sharper drops. Historical baselines for the first week of June align closely with this range, reinforcing trader alignment on this exact threshold. A sudden shift in steering patterns or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling could push readings lower, though model consensus indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,864End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological conditions support the market's overwhelming 100% consensus on a 19°C low for Tokyo on June 4, reflecting observed overnight stabilization near seasonal norms for early June. Official guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency shows persistent mild air masses with average minimums around 19–20°C, limited nocturnal cooling under typical humidity and light winds, and no active fronts or anomalous pressure systems to drive sharper drops. Historical baselines for the first week of June align closely with this range, reinforcing trader alignment on this exact threshold. A sudden shift in steering patterns or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling could push readings lower, though model consensus indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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