Maine's Democratic primary for governor, decided by ranked-choice voting on June 9, features a crowded field where trader prices reflect a tight contest among Nirav Shah, Shenna Bellows, and Hannah Pingree. Shah, the former state CDC director, holds a modest first-preference lead in early results and prior polling, yet the three-way alliance among Bellows, Troy Jackson, and Pingree—under which they rank one another ahead of Shah—creates redistribution dynamics that could shift outcomes as lower candidates are eliminated. Polling volatility, family political ties for Pingree and Angus King III, and voter priorities on housing, health care, and taxes have kept probabilities clustered near 50 percent, with separation likely hinging on second- and third-choice patterns in remaining rounds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMaine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Troy Jackson 3.7%
Angus King III 1.6%
Jason Cherry <1%
Kenneth Pinet <1%
$210,992 KL.
$210,992 KL.
Troy Jackson
23%
Angus King III
2%
Jason Cherry
1%
Kenneth Pinet
<1%
Shenna Bellows
-
Nirav Shah
52%
Hannah Pingree
48%
Troy Jackson 3.7%
Angus King III 1.6%
Jason Cherry <1%
Kenneth Pinet <1%
$210,992 KL.
$210,992 KL.
Troy Jackson
23%
Angus King III
2%
Jason Cherry
1%
Kenneth Pinet
<1%
Shenna Bellows
-
Nirav Shah
52%
Hannah Pingree
48%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maine's Democratic primary for governor, decided by ranked-choice voting on June 9, features a crowded field where trader prices reflect a tight contest among Nirav Shah, Shenna Bellows, and Hannah Pingree. Shah, the former state CDC director, holds a modest first-preference lead in early results and prior polling, yet the three-way alliance among Bellows, Troy Jackson, and Pingree—under which they rank one another ahead of Shah—creates redistribution dynamics that could shift outcomes as lower candidates are eliminated. Polling volatility, family political ties for Pingree and Angus King III, and voter priorities on housing, health care, and taxes have kept probabilities clustered near 50 percent, with separation likely hinging on second- and third-choice patterns in remaining rounds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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