Philadelphia Union's 53.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their recent 2-1 road win over CF Montréal—snapping a six-game MLS losing skid for their first victory of 2026—and returning home to Subaru Park after a month away, where they hold strong historical edges in the Atlantic Cup rivalry against D.C. United. D.C. United, sitting higher in Eastern Conference standings with a 2-4-1 record and seven points, earned a 1-0 clean-sheet win in February's opener but face key absences: forwards Tai Baribo (thigh, questionable after missing two matches) and Louis Munteanu (thigh) out or doubtful, limiting scoring threat. The 27.5% draw pricing reflects MLS parity, while D.C.'s 19.5% underdog status highlights away struggles and injury impacts despite Philly's own outs like Quinn Sullivan (knee).
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...Philadelphia Union's 53.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their recent 2-1 road win over CF Montréal—snapping a six-game MLS losing skid for their first victory of 2026—and returning home to Subaru Park after a month away, where they hold strong historical edges in the Atlantic Cup rivalry against D.C. United. D.C. United, sitting higher in Eastern Conference standings with a 2-4-1 record and seven points, earned a 1-0 clean-sheet win in February's opener but face key absences: forwards Tai Baribo (thigh, questionable after missing two matches) and Louis Munteanu (thigh) out or doubtful, limiting scoring threat. The 27.5% draw pricing reflects MLS parity, while D.C.'s 19.5% underdog status highlights away struggles and injury impacts despite Philly's own outs like Quinn Sullivan (knee).
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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