Philadelphia Union's 55.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus on home advantage at Subaru Park and a commanding head-to-head record over D.C. United, including a 6-0 thrashing last September, positioning them as slight favorites despite a winless start to 2026 with five straight MLS losses through early April. D.C. United's 19.5% chance stems from mid-table form (around 2-2-2 record) but recent setbacks, including a 4-0 home defeat to FC Dallas last weekend and key absences like defender Sean Nealis (shoulder surgery) and forward Gabriel Segal (lower leg). The 25% draw pricing underscores the rivalry's tightness in the Eastern Conference standings, with Philly also missing midfielder Quinn Sullivan (knee) amid both teams' injury concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...Philadelphia Union's 55.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus on home advantage at Subaru Park and a commanding head-to-head record over D.C. United, including a 6-0 thrashing last September, positioning them as slight favorites despite a winless start to 2026 with five straight MLS losses through early April. D.C. United's 19.5% chance stems from mid-table form (around 2-2-2 record) but recent setbacks, including a 4-0 home defeat to FC Dallas last weekend and key absences like defender Sean Nealis (shoulder surgery) and forward Gabriel Segal (lower leg). The 25% draw pricing underscores the rivalry's tightness in the Eastern Conference standings, with Philly also missing midfielder Quinn Sullivan (knee) amid both teams' injury concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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