San Jose Earthquakes lead trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the Western Conference clash at Sporting Park, driven by their blistering start to the 2026 MLS season—third in standings with 15 points from six matches, including five wins and just one goal conceded—highlighted by a dominant 3-0 victory over San Diego FC last weekend. Sporting Kansas City's 22.5% share reflects their dismal 1-1-4 record and league-worst defense, shipping 14 goals amid multiple injuries to defenders like Jack Kortkamp (ankle) and Jayden Reid (ankle), plus questionables including DeAndre Yedlin. The draw at 22.5% accounts for SKC's historical home edge in head-to-heads (+1.5 handicap in 18 of 19 vs. San Jose), though Quakes' stingy backline and momentum temper upset potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Sporting Kansas City wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 15, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Sporting Kansas City wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 15, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...San Jose Earthquakes lead trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the Western Conference clash at Sporting Park, driven by their blistering start to the 2026 MLS season—third in standings with 15 points from six matches, including five wins and just one goal conceded—highlighted by a dominant 3-0 victory over San Diego FC last weekend. Sporting Kansas City's 22.5% share reflects their dismal 1-1-4 record and league-worst defense, shipping 14 goals amid multiple injuries to defenders like Jack Kortkamp (ankle) and Jayden Reid (ankle), plus questionables including DeAndre Yedlin. The draw at 22.5% accounts for SKC's historical home edge in head-to-heads (+1.5 handicap in 18 of 19 vs. San Jose), though Quakes' stingy backline and momentum temper upset potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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