Microsoft's share price closed at $413.62 on May 4, 2026, after intraday highs near $421 amid post-earnings volatility from its fiscal Q3 results released April 29. The quarter delivered revenue of $82.9 billion (up 18% year-over-year), adjusted EPS of $4.27 beating estimates by 5%, and Microsoft Cloud revenue surging 29% to $54.5 billion on 40% Azure growth, though a $30.9 billion capital expenditure spike for AI infrastructure triggered a 4.6% plunge to $407.78 on April 30. Recovery reflects resilient trader consensus, with 45 analysts' average price target at $556 implying 34% upside. Key catalysts include the June 2 Evercore TMT Conference and Q4 earnings around July 29.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$17,101 Vol.
May 4, 2026
$390
Yes
$400
Yes
$410
Yes
$420
No
$430
No
$17,101 Vol.
$390
$12,306 Vol.
Yes
$400
$681 Vol.
Yes
$410
$987 Vol.
Yes
$420
$2,070 Vol.
No
$430
$1,057 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 4 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft's share price closed at $413.62 on May 4, 2026, after intraday highs near $421 amid post-earnings volatility from its fiscal Q3 results released April 29. The quarter delivered revenue of $82.9 billion (up 18% year-over-year), adjusted EPS of $4.27 beating estimates by 5%, and Microsoft Cloud revenue surging 29% to $54.5 billion on 40% Azure growth, though a $30.9 billion capital expenditure spike for AI infrastructure triggered a 4.6% plunge to $407.78 on April 30. Recovery reflects resilient trader consensus, with 45 analysts' average price target at $556 implying 34% upside. Key catalysts include the June 2 Evercore TMT Conference and Q4 earnings around July 29.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 4 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$17,101End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 4 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft's share price closed at $413.62 on May 4, 2026, after intraday highs near $421 amid post-earnings volatility from its fiscal Q3 results released April 29. The quarter delivered revenue of $82.9 billion (up 18% year-over-year), adjusted EPS of $4.27 beating estimates by 5%, and Microsoft Cloud revenue surging 29% to $54.5 billion on 40% Azure growth, though a $30.9 billion capital expenditure spike for AI infrastructure triggered a 4.6% plunge to $407.78 on April 30. Recovery reflects resilient trader consensus, with 45 analysts' average price target at $556 implying 34% upside. Key catalysts include the June 2 Evercore TMT Conference and Q4 earnings around July 29.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 4 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$17,101End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Microsoft's share price closed at $413.62 on May 4, 2026, after intraday highs near $421 amid post-earnings volatility from its fiscal Q3 results released April 29. The quarter delivered revenue of $82.9 billion (up 18% year-over-year), adjusted EPS of $4.27 beating estimates by 5%, and Microsoft Cloud revenue surging 29% to $54.5 billion on 40% Azure growth, though a $30.9 billion capital expenditure spike for AI infrastructure triggered a 4.6% plunge to $407.78 on April 30. Recovery reflects resilient trader consensus, with 45 analysts' average price target at $556 implying 34% upside. Key catalysts include the June 2 Evercore TMT Conference and Q4 earnings around July 29.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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