Skip to main content
icon for “Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office

“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office

icon for “Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office

“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office

Aug 23

Aug 23

Aug 23

Aug 23

Aug 23

Aug 23

Aug 23

Aug 23

<8m 69%

8-9m 28%

9-10m 4.3%

10-11m 1.7%

Polymarket

$11,674 Vol.

<8m 69%

8-9m 28%

9-10m 4.3%

10-11m 1.7%

Polymarket

$11,674 Vol.

<8m

$5,620 Vol.

69%

8-9m

$2,166 Vol.

28%

9-10m

$1,644 Vol.

4%

10-11m

$1,167 Vol.

2%

11m+

$1,077 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus on “Mutiny”’s opening weekend heavily favors the sub-$8 million bin (69.0% implied probability) because pre-release tracking and competitive realities point to a soft single-digit debut.** The Lionsgate Jason Statham action thriller launched August 21 in roughly 2,700 theaters against Sony’s stronger horror counter-programmer *Insidious: Out of the Further* ($25–35 million projections) and a dominant *Spider-Man* holdover. Industry forecasts have trended downward from an initial $8–12 million range amid a crowded late-summer slate, mixed reviews (praising Statham’s signature action while noting convoluted plotting), and an Amazon Prime streaming leak days before release. The 8–9 million outcome sits second at 27.5% as the realistic ceiling, while higher bins carry minimal weight. This weekend’s actual grosses will determine final resolution.

This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$11,674
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus on “Mutiny”’s opening weekend heavily favors the sub-$8 million bin (69.0% implied probability) because pre-release tracking and competitive realities point to a soft single-digit debut.** The Lionsgate Jason Statham action thriller launched August 21 in roughly 2,700 theaters against Sony’s stronger horror counter-programmer *Insidious: Out of the Further* ($25–35 million projections) and a dominant *Spider-Man* holdover. Industry forecasts have trended downward from an initial $8–12 million range amid a crowded late-summer slate, mixed reviews (praising Statham’s signature action while noting convoluted plotting), and an Amazon Prime streaming leak days before release. The 8–9 million outcome sits second at 27.5% as the realistic ceiling, while higher bins carry minimal weight. This weekend’s actual grosses will determine final resolution.

This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$11,674
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Related

icon for Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m?

Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m?

54%
icon for Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

84%
icon for Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?

Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?

94%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<8m" at 69%, followed by "8-9m" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office" has generated $11.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office" is "<8m" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "8-9m" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.