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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Aug 25

Aug 25

Tires: Season 3 43%

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 19%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 19%

Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Tires: Season 3 43%

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 19%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 19%

Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3 11%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Tires: Season 3

Tires: Season 3

$40 Vol.

63%

icon for My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

$6 Vol.

19%

icon for Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

$61 Vol.

19%

icon for Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3

Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3

$353 Vol.

11%

icon for My Brilliant Career: Season 1

My Brilliant Career: Season 1

$9 Vol.

3%

icon for Outer Banks: Season 5

Outer Banks: Season 5

$2 Vol.

38%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Tires Season 3 leads trader sentiment at 63% implied probability for the #2 US Netflix spot this week due to its strong mid-August debut and notable US viewership gains over prior seasons. The Shane Gillis comedy benefits from dedicated fan engagement and solid early metrics amid a competitive slate. Outer Banks Season 5, the fan-favorite drama's final installment dropping August 20, sits at 42.5% as its premiere timing could drive immediate chart momentum. My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3, already charting high after its early August launch, and the newer Conversations with a Killer docuseries reflect established audience pull, while lower odds for Love Is Blind UK and My Brilliant Career highlight their narrower appeal in current rankings.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$471
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Tires Season 3 leads trader sentiment at 63% implied probability for the #2 US Netflix spot this week due to its strong mid-August debut and notable US viewership gains over prior seasons. The Shane Gillis comedy benefits from dedicated fan engagement and solid early metrics amid a competitive slate. Outer Banks Season 5, the fan-favorite drama's final installment dropping August 20, sits at 42.5% as its premiere timing could drive immediate chart momentum. My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3, already charting high after its early August launch, and the newer Conversations with a Killer docuseries reflect established audience pull, while lower odds for Love Is Blind UK and My Brilliant Career highlight their narrower appeal in current rankings.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$471
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

icon for Will "My Brilliant Career: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Will "My Brilliant Career: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

64%
icon for Will "Extinction" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Will "Extinction" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

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icon for Will "Outer Banks: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Will "Outer Banks: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week?

97%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tires: Season 3" at 63%, followed by "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is "Tires: Season 3" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.