Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+19 and delivered a 38-point margin for the GOP presidential nominee in 2024. Meuser secured both the May 19 primary and his prior general election by wide margins with no meaningful opposition emerging. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with the 95.4% Republican implied probability on Polymarket. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major personal or ethical scandal, acute health event, or an extraordinary national Democratic surge—would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-09
$16,655 Объем
$16,655 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
95%
Демократическая партия
5%
$16,655 Объем
$16,655 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,213 Объем
95%
Демократическая партия
$7,442 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+19 and delivered a 38-point margin for the GOP presidential nominee in 2024. Meuser secured both the May 19 primary and his prior general election by wide margins with no meaningful opposition emerging. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with the 95.4% Republican implied probability on Polymarket. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major personal or ethical scandal, acute health event, or an extraordinary national Democratic surge—would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$16,655Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+19 and delivered a 38-point margin for the GOP presidential nominee in 2024. Meuser secured both the May 19 primary and his prior general election by wide margins with no meaningful opposition emerging. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with the 95.4% Republican implied probability on Polymarket. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major personal or ethical scandal, acute health event, or an extraordinary national Democratic surge—would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$16,655Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Dan Meuser faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+19 and delivered a 38-point margin for the GOP presidential nominee in 2024. Meuser secured both the May 19 primary and his prior general election by wide margins with no meaningful opposition emerging. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, aligning with the 95.4% Republican implied probability on Polymarket. Only an unforeseen late development—such as a major personal or ethical scandal, acute health event, or an extraordinary national Democratic surge—would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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