Korea Meteorological Administration data reveals exceptionally low precipitation accumulation in Seoul through mid-April 2026—far below the climatological April average of 65–80mm—driving trader consensus toward <40mm at 52.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridges over the Korean Peninsula have blocked moisture advection from the East Sea and suppressed frontal passages, yielding near-zero daily rainfall in recent days amid mild temperatures and stable atmospheric conditions. KMA forecast models show consensus for minimal additional rain through April 30, with low probabilities for convective showers or systems. However, inherent uncertainty in spring weather patterns persists, as late-month low-pressure developments could elevate totals; monitor daily KMA updates for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
<40mm 59%
65-70mm 15%
55-60mm 8%
45-50mm 7.5%
$16,660 Vol.
$16,660 Vol.
<40mm
38%
40-45mm
12%
45-50mm
8%
50-55mm
10%
55-60mm
8%
60-65mm
5%
65-70mm
15%
70-75mm
2%
75mm+
9%
<40mm 59%
65-70mm 15%
55-60mm 8%
45-50mm 7.5%
$16,660 Vol.
$16,660 Vol.
<40mm
38%
40-45mm
12%
45-50mm
8%
50-55mm
10%
55-60mm
8%
60-65mm
5%
65-70mm
15%
70-75mm
2%
75mm+
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration data reveals exceptionally low precipitation accumulation in Seoul through mid-April 2026—far below the climatological April average of 65–80mm—driving trader consensus toward <40mm at 52.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridges over the Korean Peninsula have blocked moisture advection from the East Sea and suppressed frontal passages, yielding near-zero daily rainfall in recent days amid mild temperatures and stable atmospheric conditions. KMA forecast models show consensus for minimal additional rain through April 30, with low probabilities for convective showers or systems. However, inherent uncertainty in spring weather patterns persists, as late-month low-pressure developments could elevate totals; monitor daily KMA updates for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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