Robert Pattinson’s star power and A24’s targeted marketing have lifted trader expectations for *Primetime*’s domestic opening weekend, with the market now splitting nearly evenly between the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus brackets. Early tracking had pointed to a modest 10–15 million debut for the psychological thriller about Chris Hansen and *To Catch a Predator*, but Venice Film Festival buzz and positive early reviews appear to have shifted sentiment upward. Competition from recent wide releases and the late-September slot add uncertainty, while guild and critic response after the Sept. 25 bow will quickly clarify whether the film sustains momentum or settles into a narrower range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office
19-22m 38%
22m+ 33%
16-19m 14.4%
10-13m 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
<10m
2%
10-13m
11%
13-16m
9%
16-19m
14%
19-22m
38%
22m+
33%
19-22m 38%
22m+ 33%
16-19m 14.4%
10-13m 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
<10m
$656 Vol.
2%
10-13m
$757 Vol.
11%
13-16m
$962 Vol.
9%
16-19m
$601 Vol.
14%
19-22m
$1,839 Vol.
38%
22m+
$2,488 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Robert Pattinson’s star power and A24’s targeted marketing have lifted trader expectations for *Primetime*’s domestic opening weekend, with the market now splitting nearly evenly between the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus brackets. Early tracking had pointed to a modest 10–15 million debut for the psychological thriller about Chris Hansen and *To Catch a Predator*, but Venice Film Festival buzz and positive early reviews appear to have shifted sentiment upward. Competition from recent wide releases and the late-September slot add uncertainty, while guild and critic response after the Sept. 25 bow will quickly clarify whether the film sustains momentum or settles into a narrower range.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$7,303End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Robert Pattinson’s star power and A24’s targeted marketing have lifted trader expectations for *Primetime*’s domestic opening weekend, with the market now splitting nearly evenly between the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus brackets. Early tracking had pointed to a modest 10–15 million debut for the psychological thriller about Chris Hansen and *To Catch a Predator*, but Venice Film Festival buzz and positive early reviews appear to have shifted sentiment upward. Competition from recent wide releases and the late-September slot add uncertainty, while guild and critic response after the Sept. 25 bow will quickly clarify whether the film sustains momentum or settles into a narrower range.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$7,303End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Robert Pattinson’s star power and A24’s targeted marketing have lifted trader expectations for *Primetime*’s domestic opening weekend, with the market now splitting nearly evenly between the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus brackets. Early tracking had pointed to a modest 10–15 million debut for the psychological thriller about Chris Hansen and *To Catch a Predator*, but Venice Film Festival buzz and positive early reviews appear to have shifted sentiment upward. Competition from recent wide releases and the late-September slot add uncertainty, while guild and critic response after the Sept. 25 bow will quickly clarify whether the film sustains momentum or settles into a narrower range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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