Roraima’s 2026 gubernatorial race remains tightly contested because four main candidates—Arthur Henrique (PL), interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), and Rosi Aires (PSOL)—plus smaller contenders are all positioned within a narrow band of trader pricing. Recent party conventions in early August formalized the field, while the June supplementary election, in which Henrique secured a majority that is still under judicial review, has introduced uncertainty over eligibility and potential court rulings that could reshape the ballot. With the first-round vote set for October and no dominant polling lead established, traders see limited separation until further surveys, candidate withdrawals, or definitive legal decisions emerge closer to election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedClébio Genuíno 46%
Farah Mesquita 45%
Arthur Henrique 44%
Rosi Aires 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Clébio Genuíno
46%
Farah Mesquita
45%
Arthur Henrique
44%
Rosi Aires
44%
Soldado Sampaio
44%
Clébio Genuíno 46%
Farah Mesquita 45%
Arthur Henrique 44%
Rosi Aires 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Clébio Genuíno
$0 Vol.
46%
Farah Mesquita
$0 Vol.
45%
Arthur Henrique
$0 Vol.
44%
Rosi Aires
$0 Vol.
44%
Soldado Sampaio
$0 Vol.
44%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roraima’s 2026 gubernatorial race remains tightly contested because four main candidates—Arthur Henrique (PL), interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), and Rosi Aires (PSOL)—plus smaller contenders are all positioned within a narrow band of trader pricing. Recent party conventions in early August formalized the field, while the June supplementary election, in which Henrique secured a majority that is still under judicial review, has introduced uncertainty over eligibility and potential court rulings that could reshape the ballot. With the first-round vote set for October and no dominant polling lead established, traders see limited separation until further surveys, candidate withdrawals, or definitive legal decisions emerge closer to election day.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roraima’s 2026 gubernatorial race remains tightly contested because four main candidates—Arthur Henrique (PL), interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), and Rosi Aires (PSOL)—plus smaller contenders are all positioned within a narrow band of trader pricing. Recent party conventions in early August formalized the field, while the June supplementary election, in which Henrique secured a majority that is still under judicial review, has introduced uncertainty over eligibility and potential court rulings that could reshape the ballot. With the first-round vote set for October and no dominant polling lead established, traders see limited separation until further surveys, candidate withdrawals, or definitive legal decisions emerge closer to election day.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roraima’s 2026 gubernatorial race remains tightly contested because four main candidates—Arthur Henrique (PL), interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), and Rosi Aires (PSOL)—plus smaller contenders are all positioned within a narrow band of trader pricing. Recent party conventions in early August formalized the field, while the June supplementary election, in which Henrique secured a majority that is still under judicial review, has introduced uncertainty over eligibility and potential court rulings that could reshape the ballot. With the first-round vote set for October and no dominant polling lead established, traders see limited separation until further surveys, candidate withdrawals, or definitive legal decisions emerge closer to election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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