The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 52 million dollar or higher opening weekend reflects robust presales and positive industry tracking for the horror comedy reboot, fueled by the franchise's nostalgic appeal and targeted marketing that has resonated with core audiences. Comparable genre releases with similar brand equity have frequently delivered strong debuts when positioned against lighter competition, reinforcing trader confidence in sustained momentum through the weekend. An upset below that threshold would require a sharp reversal, such as weaker-than-expected word-of-mouth from early screenings or an unexpected surge in rival titles drawing away family and young adult viewers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
52m+ 100.0%
<40m <1%
40-44m <1%
44-48m <1%
$361,804 Vol.
$361,804 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
<40m
No
40-44m
No
44-48m
No
48-52m
No
52m+
Yes
52m+ 100.0%
<40m <1%
40-44m <1%
44-48m <1%
$361,804 Vol.
$361,804 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
<40m
$25,855 Vol.
No
40-44m
$19,958 Vol.
No
44-48m
$72,693 Vol.
No
48-52m
$74,228 Vol.
No
52m+
$169,069 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 52 million dollar or higher opening weekend reflects robust presales and positive industry tracking for the horror comedy reboot, fueled by the franchise's nostalgic appeal and targeted marketing that has resonated with core audiences. Comparable genre releases with similar brand equity have frequently delivered strong debuts when positioned against lighter competition, reinforcing trader confidence in sustained momentum through the weekend. An upset below that threshold would require a sharp reversal, such as weaker-than-expected word-of-mouth from early screenings or an unexpected surge in rival titles drawing away family and young adult viewers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$361,804End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 52 million dollar or higher opening weekend reflects robust presales and positive industry tracking for the horror comedy reboot, fueled by the franchise's nostalgic appeal and targeted marketing that has resonated with core audiences. Comparable genre releases with similar brand equity have frequently delivered strong debuts when positioned against lighter competition, reinforcing trader confidence in sustained momentum through the weekend. An upset below that threshold would require a sharp reversal, such as weaker-than-expected word-of-mouth from early screenings or an unexpected surge in rival titles drawing away family and young adult viewers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$361,804End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 52 million dollar or higher opening weekend reflects robust presales and positive industry tracking for the horror comedy reboot, fueled by the franchise's nostalgic appeal and targeted marketing that has resonated with core audiences. Comparable genre releases with similar brand equity have frequently delivered strong debuts when positioned against lighter competition, reinforcing trader confidence in sustained momentum through the weekend. An upset below that threshold would require a sharp reversal, such as weaker-than-expected word-of-mouth from early screenings or an unexpected surge in rival titles drawing away family and young adult viewers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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