Market icon
Finance·Stocks

S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?

Market icon
Finance·Stocks

S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?

41% chance
Polymarket
NEW
41% chance
Polymarket
NEW
For the 5 consecutive weeks prior to market creation, the official S&P 500 Index closing price on the final trading day of the week has been lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price on the final trading day of the previous week. The official S&P 500 Index closing price on March 27, 2026 was 6368.85. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official S&P 500 Index closing price on April 2, 2026 is greater than or equal to 6368.85. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the April 2, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published for the S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If April 2, 2026 has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid published price as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

For the 5 consecutive weeks prior to market creation, the official S&P 500 Index closing price on the final trading day of the week has been lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price on the final trading day of the previous week. The official S&P 500 Index closing price on March 27, 2026 was 6368.85. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official S&P 500 Index closing price on April 2, 2026 is greater than or equal to 6368.85. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the April 2, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published for the S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If April 2, 2026 has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid published price as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

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Frequently Asked Questions

"S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 41% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 41¢, the market collectively assigns a 41% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?" is 41% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 41% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.