The S&P 500 closed September 1, 2026, at 7,631 after pulling back from August highs near 7,800, posting roughly 11-12% year-to-date gains and 19% over the trailing twelve months. Robust second-quarter earnings growth, led by AI-exposed technology and semiconductor firms, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with analysts broadly projecting 2026 index-level EPS near $350 and raising year-end targets into the 7,900-8,100 range. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% since January amid elevated inflation (PCE near 3.7% year-over-year) tied to Middle East energy supply shocks, while the labor market stays resilient with unemployment around 4.1-4.3%. Key near-term catalysts include the mid-September FOMC meeting, upcoming inflation and employment data, and continued earnings momentum that could offset geopolitical and yield-related pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$332,875 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
2%
↑ $9,300
4%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,600
8%
↑ $8,200
32%
↑ $8,000
60%
↓ $7,400
63%
↓ $7,200
71%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ $6,200
15%
↓ $6,000
13%
↓ $5,800
9%
↓ $5,200
6%
↓ $4,500
3%
$332,875 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
2%
↑ $9,300
$9,488 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$68 Vol.
3%
↑ $8,600
$30,604 Vol.
8%
↑ $8,200
$23,394 Vol.
32%
↑ $8,000
$489 Vol.
60%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
63%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
71%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
61%
↓ $6,200
$48,359 Vol.
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,779 Vol.
13%
↓ $5,800
$41,770 Vol.
9%
↓ $5,200
$56,004 Vol.
6%
↓ $4,500
$59,566 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed September 1, 2026, at 7,631 after pulling back from August highs near 7,800, posting roughly 11-12% year-to-date gains and 19% over the trailing twelve months. Robust second-quarter earnings growth, led by AI-exposed technology and semiconductor firms, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with analysts broadly projecting 2026 index-level EPS near $350 and raising year-end targets into the 7,900-8,100 range. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% since January amid elevated inflation (PCE near 3.7% year-over-year) tied to Middle East energy supply shocks, while the labor market stays resilient with unemployment around 4.1-4.3%. Key near-term catalysts include the mid-September FOMC meeting, upcoming inflation and employment data, and continued earnings momentum that could offset geopolitical and yield-related pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$332,875End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed September 1, 2026, at 7,631 after pulling back from August highs near 7,800, posting roughly 11-12% year-to-date gains and 19% over the trailing twelve months. Robust second-quarter earnings growth, led by AI-exposed technology and semiconductor firms, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with analysts broadly projecting 2026 index-level EPS near $350 and raising year-end targets into the 7,900-8,100 range. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% since January amid elevated inflation (PCE near 3.7% year-over-year) tied to Middle East energy supply shocks, while the labor market stays resilient with unemployment around 4.1-4.3%. Key near-term catalysts include the mid-September FOMC meeting, upcoming inflation and employment data, and continued earnings momentum that could offset geopolitical and yield-related pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$332,875End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed September 1, 2026, at 7,631 after pulling back from August highs near 7,800, posting roughly 11-12% year-to-date gains and 19% over the trailing twelve months. Robust second-quarter earnings growth, led by AI-exposed technology and semiconductor firms, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with analysts broadly projecting 2026 index-level EPS near $350 and raising year-end targets into the 7,900-8,100 range. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% since January amid elevated inflation (PCE near 3.7% year-over-year) tied to Middle East energy supply shocks, while the labor market stays resilient with unemployment around 4.1-4.3%. Key near-term catalysts include the mid-September FOMC meeting, upcoming inflation and employment data, and continued earnings momentum that could offset geopolitical and yield-related pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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