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icon for Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

icon for Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$130,969 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$130,969 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.The December 2025 release of EsDeeKid’s “4 Raws Remix,” featuring an on-camera collaboration with Timothée Chalamet, directly dismantled the alter-ego theory by showing the two as distinct individuals, with the Liverpool rapper’s shrouded identity intact alongside the actor’s clear appearance. This public nod from both parties, timed with Chalamet’s *Marty Supreme* rollout, shifted industry and online consensus away from the meme almost immediately. Recent social chatter in mid-2026 treats the idea as long-settled joke fodder rather than live speculation. With the June 30 deadline approaching and no credible new evidence or statements emerging, traders see confirmation as effectively impossible absent an improbable late hoax or fabricated announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid.

Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.

Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify.

If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$130,969
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 12:26 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.The December 2025 release of EsDeeKid’s “4 Raws Remix,” featuring an on-camera collaboration with Timothée Chalamet, directly dismantled the alter-ego theory by showing the two as distinct individuals, with the Liverpool rapper’s shrouded identity intact alongside the actor’s clear appearance. This public nod from both parties, timed with Chalamet’s *Marty Supreme* rollout, shifted industry and online consensus away from the meme almost immediately. Recent social chatter in mid-2026 treats the idea as long-settled joke fodder rather than live speculation. With the June 30 deadline approaching and no credible new evidence or statements emerging, traders see confirmation as effectively impossible absent an improbable late hoax or fabricated announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid.

Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.

Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify.

If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$130,969
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 12:26 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?" has generated $131K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.