**Recent NRG tracking for the Tom Cruise-led satirical black comedy "Digger," directed by Alejandro G. Iñárritu and opening October 2 in IMAX, has surfaced at a soft $20 million domestic debut, with Box Office Theory projecting around $23.5 million.** This positions the film in a competitive mid-20s range amid a cooling fall marketplace, where its reported $125–130 million (or higher) budget raises questions about front-loaded performance versus long-term legs. Traders weigh the star power and awards-oriented positioning—echoing the modest $22 million start of "One Battle After Another"—against divided trailer reactions and limited early buzz, with presales launching soon and London premiere footage expected to clarify momentum. The clustered probabilities reflect uncertainty around whether strong critical or audience scores can lift it above softer tracking or if broader October competition caps the opening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office
29m+ 27%
26-29m 24%
23-26m 23%
17-20m 22%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<17m
19%
17-20m
22%
20-23m
17%
23-26m
23%
26-29m
24%
29m+
27%
29m+ 27%
26-29m 24%
23-26m 23%
17-20m 22%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<17m
$0 Vol.
19%
17-20m
$0 Vol.
22%
20-23m
$0 Vol.
17%
23-26m
$0 Vol.
23%
26-29m
$0 Vol.
24%
29m+
$80 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to how much "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Recent NRG tracking for the Tom Cruise-led satirical black comedy "Digger," directed by Alejandro G. Iñárritu and opening October 2 in IMAX, has surfaced at a soft $20 million domestic debut, with Box Office Theory projecting around $23.5 million.** This positions the film in a competitive mid-20s range amid a cooling fall marketplace, where its reported $125–130 million (or higher) budget raises questions about front-loaded performance versus long-term legs. Traders weigh the star power and awards-oriented positioning—echoing the modest $22 million start of "One Battle After Another"—against divided trailer reactions and limited early buzz, with presales launching soon and London premiere footage expected to clarify momentum. The clustered probabilities reflect uncertainty around whether strong critical or audience scores can lift it above softer tracking or if broader October competition caps the opening.
This market will resolve according to how much "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$80End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Recent NRG tracking for the Tom Cruise-led satirical black comedy "Digger," directed by Alejandro G. Iñárritu and opening October 2 in IMAX, has surfaced at a soft $20 million domestic debut, with Box Office Theory projecting around $23.5 million.** This positions the film in a competitive mid-20s range amid a cooling fall marketplace, where its reported $125–130 million (or higher) budget raises questions about front-loaded performance versus long-term legs. Traders weigh the star power and awards-oriented positioning—echoing the modest $22 million start of "One Battle After Another"—against divided trailer reactions and limited early buzz, with presales launching soon and London premiere footage expected to clarify momentum. The clustered probabilities reflect uncertainty around whether strong critical or audience scores can lift it above softer tracking or if broader October competition caps the opening.
This market will resolve according to how much "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$80End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent NRG tracking for the Tom Cruise-led satirical black comedy "Digger," directed by Alejandro G. Iñárritu and opening October 2 in IMAX, has surfaced at a soft $20 million domestic debut, with Box Office Theory projecting around $23.5 million.** This positions the film in a competitive mid-20s range amid a cooling fall marketplace, where its reported $125–130 million (or higher) budget raises questions about front-loaded performance versus long-term legs. Traders weigh the star power and awards-oriented positioning—echoing the modest $22 million start of "One Battle After Another"—against divided trailer reactions and limited early buzz, with presales launching soon and London premiere footage expected to clarify momentum. The clustered probabilities reflect uncertainty around whether strong critical or audience scores can lift it above softer tracking or if broader October competition caps the opening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions