**Trader sentiment for Verity’s domestic opening weekend reflects uncertainty around a $30–40 million early tracking range amid direct competition and genre-specific risks.** The R-rated psychological erotic thriller from Amazon MGM, based on Colleen Hoover’s bestseller and starring Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson, and Josh Hartnett, opens October 2 opposite Warner Bros.’ high-profile Tom Cruise vehicle Digger. Precedent Hoover adaptations succeeded in the PG-13 romance space, while edgier R-rated comps like A Simple Favor and The Housemaid posted more modest $16–19 million debuts. Strong source-material fandom and Hathaway’s 2026 momentum provide upside, yet the split market probabilities across sub-$16 million through $28 million+ bins underscore how presales, final theater counts, and word-of-mouth in a crowded fall frame could shift outcomes before the three-day window locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office
25-28m 26%
28m+ 26%
22-25m 25%
<16m 18%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<16m
18%
16-19m
18%
19-22m
16%
22-25m
25%
25-28m
26%
28m+
26%
25-28m 26%
28m+ 26%
22-25m 25%
<16m 18%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<16m
$0 Vol.
18%
16-19m
$0 Vol.
18%
19-22m
$0 Vol.
16%
22-25m
$0 Vol.
25%
25-28m
$0 Vol.
26%
28m+
$40 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader sentiment for Verity’s domestic opening weekend reflects uncertainty around a $30–40 million early tracking range amid direct competition and genre-specific risks.** The R-rated psychological erotic thriller from Amazon MGM, based on Colleen Hoover’s bestseller and starring Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson, and Josh Hartnett, opens October 2 opposite Warner Bros.’ high-profile Tom Cruise vehicle Digger. Precedent Hoover adaptations succeeded in the PG-13 romance space, while edgier R-rated comps like A Simple Favor and The Housemaid posted more modest $16–19 million debuts. Strong source-material fandom and Hathaway’s 2026 momentum provide upside, yet the split market probabilities across sub-$16 million through $28 million+ bins underscore how presales, final theater counts, and word-of-mouth in a crowded fall frame could shift outcomes before the three-day window locks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader sentiment for Verity’s domestic opening weekend reflects uncertainty around a $30–40 million early tracking range amid direct competition and genre-specific risks.** The R-rated psychological erotic thriller from Amazon MGM, based on Colleen Hoover’s bestseller and starring Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson, and Josh Hartnett, opens October 2 opposite Warner Bros.’ high-profile Tom Cruise vehicle Digger. Precedent Hoover adaptations succeeded in the PG-13 romance space, while edgier R-rated comps like A Simple Favor and The Housemaid posted more modest $16–19 million debuts. Strong source-material fandom and Hathaway’s 2026 momentum provide upside, yet the split market probabilities across sub-$16 million through $28 million+ bins underscore how presales, final theater counts, and word-of-mouth in a crowded fall frame could shift outcomes before the three-day window locks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$40End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Verity’s domestic opening weekend reflects uncertainty around a $30–40 million early tracking range amid direct competition and genre-specific risks.** The R-rated psychological erotic thriller from Amazon MGM, based on Colleen Hoover’s bestseller and starring Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson, and Josh Hartnett, opens October 2 opposite Warner Bros.’ high-profile Tom Cruise vehicle Digger. Precedent Hoover adaptations succeeded in the PG-13 romance space, while edgier R-rated comps like A Simple Favor and The Housemaid posted more modest $16–19 million debuts. Strong source-material fandom and Hathaway’s 2026 momentum provide upside, yet the split market probabilities across sub-$16 million through $28 million+ bins underscore how presales, final theater counts, and word-of-mouth in a crowded fall frame could shift outcomes before the three-day window locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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