Tesla shares closed at $322.08 on August 3 amid volatility following the July 22 Q2 2026 earnings release, where revenue beat estimates at $28.24 billion but adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed consensus and margins compressed. Traders are weighing ongoing AI and robotaxi investment costs against regulatory headwinds, including the late-July NHTSA probe into Model 3 and Y suspension issues affecting over 1.2 million vehicles. Broader sector rotation and analyst target reductions, such as Stifel’s cut to $491, have contributed to the stock trading well below its 52-week high near $499. Key near-term sentiment drivers include any fresh updates on Cybercab deployment timelines or delivery trends, with the August 4 close reflecting aggregated real-money positioning on these fundamentals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 4, 2026
$300
89%
$310
92%
$320
67%
$330
21%
$340
9%
$47 Vol.
$300
$0 Vol.
89%
$310
$0 Vol.
92%
$320
$47 Vol.
67%
$330
$0 Vol.
21%
$340
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on August 4, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.Tesla shares closed at $322.08 on August 3 amid volatility following the July 22 Q2 2026 earnings release, where revenue beat estimates at $28.24 billion but adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed consensus and margins compressed. Traders are weighing ongoing AI and robotaxi investment costs against regulatory headwinds, including the late-July NHTSA probe into Model 3 and Y suspension issues affecting over 1.2 million vehicles. Broader sector rotation and analyst target reductions, such as Stifel’s cut to $491, have contributed to the stock trading well below its 52-week high near $499. Key near-term sentiment drivers include any fresh updates on Cybercab deployment timelines or delivery trends, with the August 4 close reflecting aggregated real-money positioning on these fundamentals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on August 4, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$47End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on August 4, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.Tesla shares closed at $322.08 on August 3 amid volatility following the July 22 Q2 2026 earnings release, where revenue beat estimates at $28.24 billion but adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed consensus and margins compressed. Traders are weighing ongoing AI and robotaxi investment costs against regulatory headwinds, including the late-July NHTSA probe into Model 3 and Y suspension issues affecting over 1.2 million vehicles. Broader sector rotation and analyst target reductions, such as Stifel’s cut to $491, have contributed to the stock trading well below its 52-week high near $499. Key near-term sentiment drivers include any fresh updates on Cybercab deployment timelines or delivery trends, with the August 4 close reflecting aggregated real-money positioning on these fundamentals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on August 4, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Volume
$47End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares closed at $322.08 on August 3 amid volatility following the July 22 Q2 2026 earnings release, where revenue beat estimates at $28.24 billion but adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed consensus and margins compressed. Traders are weighing ongoing AI and robotaxi investment costs against regulatory headwinds, including the late-July NHTSA probe into Model 3 and Y suspension issues affecting over 1.2 million vehicles. Broader sector rotation and analyst target reductions, such as Stifel’s cut to $491, have contributed to the stock trading well below its 52-week high near $499. Key near-term sentiment drivers include any fresh updates on Cybercab deployment timelines or delivery trends, with the August 4 close reflecting aggregated real-money positioning on these fundamentals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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