Tesla shares closed July 31 at $311.21 amid ongoing pressure from Q2 results released July 22 that highlighted negative free cash flow and heavy spending on Optimus and robotaxi initiatives. A fresh NHTSA probe into suspension defects on 1.2 million vehicles and denied reports of a potential China-unit divestiture added near-term regulatory and sentiment headwinds, contributing to a roughly 30% year-to-date decline. Trader focus for the August 3 week centers on any incremental FSD or production updates, broader EV demand signals, and equity-market volatility, with analyst price targets clustered near $400 and limited scheduled catalysts until the October earnings window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $360
50%
↑ $352.50
50%
↑ $345
50%
↑ $337.50
50%
↑ $330
50%
↑ $322.50
50%
↑ $315
50%
↓ $307.50
50%
↓ $300
50%
↓ $292.50
50%
↓ $285
50%
↓ $277.50
50%
↓ $270
50%
↓ $262.50
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $360
50%
↑ $352.50
50%
↑ $345
50%
↑ $337.50
50%
↑ $330
50%
↑ $322.50
50%
↑ $315
50%
↓ $307.50
50%
↓ $300
50%
↓ $292.50
50%
↓ $285
50%
↓ $277.50
50%
↓ $270
50%
↓ $262.50
50%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares closed July 31 at $311.21 amid ongoing pressure from Q2 results released July 22 that highlighted negative free cash flow and heavy spending on Optimus and robotaxi initiatives. A fresh NHTSA probe into suspension defects on 1.2 million vehicles and denied reports of a potential China-unit divestiture added near-term regulatory and sentiment headwinds, contributing to a roughly 30% year-to-date decline. Trader focus for the August 3 week centers on any incremental FSD or production updates, broader EV demand signals, and equity-market volatility, with analyst price targets clustered near $400 and limited scheduled catalysts until the October earnings window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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