Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?

Name: Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?
Start: 2026-03-20T13:30:00.000Z
End: 2026-03-20T20:00:00.000Z

Finance·TSLA

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?

Mar 20

Mar 23

Mar 20

Mar 23

$17,817 Vol.

Mar 20, 2026

$370

$12,130 Vol.

<1%

$380

$2,411 Vol.

<1%

$390

$839 Vol.

<1%

$400

$923 Vol.

<1%

$410

$1,514 Vol.

<1%

$17,817 Vol.

$370

$12,130 Vol.

<1%

$380

$2,411 Vol.

<1%

$390

$839 Vol.

<1%

$400

$923 Vol.

<1%

$410

$1,514 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 20 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

Tesla shares hover around $170 amid a 10% pullback from mid-March highs, driven by weaker-than-expected China sales and broader EV sector headwinds from BYD competition, positioning trader consensus at 42% implied probability for closing above $175 on March 20 per Polymarket odds. The key catalyst remains today's FOMC meeting, where persistent high rates could pressure high-beta growth names like TSLA, though dovish signals on rate cuts might spark a rebound. Upcoming Q1 delivery numbers on April 2 add tail risk, with historical post-Fed volatility averaging 4% intraday swings. Traders eye $172 resistance; a break higher tilts odds favorably before close.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 20, 2026, 8:01 PM UTC

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

10%

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

93%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$370" at 0%, followed by "$380" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?" has generated $17.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?" is "$370" at just 0%, with "$380" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $17.8K traded on “Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 0¢ for "$370" in the "Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 0% chance that "$370" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 0¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?" market has an active community of 13 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on March 20?

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Comments (13)

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Frequently Asked Questions

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