Bayern Munich's 2-1 aggregate lead from the first-leg victory at Real Madrid, combined with their formidable home record at Allianz Arena—unbeaten in UCL ties this season—fuels trader consensus pricing a Bayern win at 62.5% implied probability. Real Madrid face key absences including Aurélien Tchouaméni's suspension, Thibaut Courtois' thigh injury, and Rodrygo's knee problem, weakening their depth amid a three-game winless run capped by a 1-1 La Liga draw versus Girona. Bayern, bolstered by a 5-0 Bundesliga rout of St. Pauli and full fitness for Harry Kane and Serge Gnabry after minor concerns, hold squad rotation advantages, though Kylian Mbappé's availability and Vinícius Júnior's pace keep Real's upset potential alive at 19.5% and draw at 17.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern Munich's 2-1 aggregate lead from the first-leg victory at Real Madrid, combined with their formidable home record at Allianz Arena—unbeaten in UCL ties this season—fuels trader consensus pricing a Bayern win at 62.5% implied probability. Real Madrid face key absences including Aurélien Tchouaméni's suspension, Thibaut Courtois' thigh injury, and Rodrygo's knee problem, weakening their depth amid a three-game winless run capped by a 1-1 La Liga draw versus Girona. Bayern, bolstered by a 5-0 Bundesliga rout of St. Pauli and full fitness for Harry Kane and Serge Gnabry after minor concerns, hold squad rotation advantages, though Kylian Mbappé's availability and Vinícius Júnior's pace keep Real's upset potential alive at 19.5% and draw at 17.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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