Amazon's strong Q2 2026 results, with net sales rising 20% year-over-year to $200.6 billion and AWS revenue surging 37% to a $169 billion annualized run rate, have lifted shares more than 9% in after-hours trading, supporting market-implied odds favoring levels above $288 in July. Robust operating income growth of 43% and an increased full-year capex forecast to $220 billion reflect accelerating cloud demand and AI investments, driving trader consensus toward higher price thresholds amid favorable sector momentum. With resolution near on August 1, any late-July volatility tied to broader tech sentiment or macroeconomic data could still influence final outcomes, though recent earnings momentum has tightened probabilities around elevated ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$91,686 Vol.
↑ $288
No
↑ $280
No
↑ $272
Yes
↑ $264
Yes
↑ $256
Yes
↑ $248
Yes
↑ $240
Yes
↓ $232
Yes
↓ $224
No
↓ $216
No
↓ $208
No
↓ $200
No
↓ $192
No
↓ $184
No
$91,686 Vol.
↑ $288
No
↑ $280
No
↑ $272
Yes
↑ $264
Yes
↑ $256
Yes
↑ $248
Yes
↑ $240
Yes
↓ $232
Yes
↓ $224
No
↓ $216
No
↓ $208
No
↓ $200
No
↓ $192
No
↓ $184
No
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Amazon's strong Q2 2026 results, with net sales rising 20% year-over-year to $200.6 billion and AWS revenue surging 37% to a $169 billion annualized run rate, have lifted shares more than 9% in after-hours trading, supporting market-implied odds favoring levels above $288 in July. Robust operating income growth of 43% and an increased full-year capex forecast to $220 billion reflect accelerating cloud demand and AI investments, driving trader consensus toward higher price thresholds amid favorable sector momentum. With resolution near on August 1, any late-July volatility tied to broader tech sentiment or macroeconomic data could still influence final outcomes, though recent earnings momentum has tightened probabilities around elevated ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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