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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Apr 7

Apr 7

Anaconda 79%

The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 14%

28 Years Later: The Bone Temple 1.4%

The Bad Guardian 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Anaconda 79%

The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 14%

28 Years Later: The Bone Temple 1.4%

The Bad Guardian 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW
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Anaconda

$1,819 Vol.

81%

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The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$1,051 Vol.

14%

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28 Years Later: The Bone Temple

$286 Vol.

1%

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The Bad Guardian

$236 Vol.

1%

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War Machine

$1,167 Vol.

1%

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Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man

$285 Vol.

1%

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The Creator

$107 Vol.

1%

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KPop Demon Hunters

$315 Vol.

<1%

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Sisu: Road to Revenge

$261 Vol.

<1%

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Minions: The Rise of Gru

$178 Vol.

<1%

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Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story

$173 Vol.

<1%

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The Bad Guys 2

$285 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus heavily favors Anaconda at 80% implied probability to claim the top US Netflix movie spot this week, propelled by its current No. 1 position on the platform's daily Top 10 Movies chart as of April 3. The Jack Black and Paul Rudd-led meta comedy-horror reboot, which hit streaming on March 25, has surged on strong opening viewership fueled by nostalgic '90s remake appeal, positive word-of-mouth on its self-referential snake attacks, and star-driven buzz despite mixed reviews. True-crime documentary The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson trails at 13%, gaining from fresh promotional traction around pro cyclist Moriah Wilson's story ahead of its wider rollout. Holdovers like 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple rank lower but could climb; watch Netflix's weekly Top 10 update on April 7 for final resolution based on March 31–April 6 views.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,162
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus heavily favors Anaconda at 80% implied probability to claim the top US Netflix movie spot this week, propelled by its current No. 1 position on the platform's daily Top 10 Movies chart as of April 3. The Jack Black and Paul Rudd-led meta comedy-horror reboot, which hit streaming on March 25, has surged on strong opening viewership fueled by nostalgic '90s remake appeal, positive word-of-mouth on its self-referential snake attacks, and star-driven buzz despite mixed reviews. True-crime documentary The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson trails at 13%, gaining from fresh promotional traction around pro cyclist Moriah Wilson's story ahead of its wider rollout. Holdovers like 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple rank lower but could climb; watch Netflix's weekly Top 10 update on April 7 for final resolution based on March 31–April 6 views.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,162
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anaconda" at 81%, followed by "The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Anaconda" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.