Market icon
Politics·Mentions

Who will Trump name in April?

Market icon
Politics·Mentions

Who will Trump name in April?

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$903 Vol.

Polymarket

Netanyahu

$144 Vol.

97%

Newsom / Newscum

$53 Vol.

89%

Delcy

$36 Vol.

72%

Khamenei / Khomeini

$130 Vol.

85%

Caine

$7 Vol.

71%

Maduro

$5 Vol.

66%

Keir / Starmer

$38 Vol.

80%

Kamala

$13 Vol.

79%

Emmanuel / Macron

$3 Vol.

78%

Kushner

$36 Vol.

77%

Homan

$60 Vol.

73%

Warsh

$3 Vol.

68%

Gianni / Infantino

$102 Vol.

68%

Rand Paul

$120 Vol.

67%

Oz

$0 Vol.

67%

Ilhan / Omar

$6 Vol.

75%

Schumer

$0 Vol.

59%

Elon / Musk

$0 Vol.

54%

Castro

$0 Vol.

54%

Massie

$0 Vol.

54%

Leavitt

$0 Vol.

53%

Leo XIV / Pope

$0 Vol.

52%

Friedrich / Merz

$0 Vol.

51%

Zohran / Mamdani

$45 Vol.

63%

Warren / Pocahontas

$88 Vol.

51%

Bush

$0 Vol.

50%

Bernie

$0 Vol.

47%

Machado

$0 Vol.

46%

Hillary

$0 Vol.

45%

Paxton

$0 Vol.

44%

Kavanaugh

$0 Vol.

43%

Talarico

$0 Vol.

42%

Nicki / Minaj

$0 Vol.

42%

Jensen / Huang

$0 Vol.

38%

Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

35%

Zuckerberg

$7 Vol.

39%

Viktor / Orbán

$6 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump verbally naming Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu (90-97% implied probability) during his scheduled Address to the Nation and Easter lunch on April 1, amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions highlighted by Trump's March 31 warning to allies to secure their own oil supplies lacking support for operations against Iran, coupled with Iran's IRGC threat yesterday to target U.S. tech firms starting today. High odds also price in mentions of California Governor Newsom (76%), Kamala Harris (68%), and others like Ilhan Omar (66%) as Trump addresses domestic critics and foreign adversaries in public speeches through April 30. Recent cabinet shifts, including Kristi Noem's DHS removal and Markwayne Mullin's confirmation last week, add context but focus remains on rhetorical targets in ongoing geopolitical and partisan discourse. Late-breaking diplomatic developments or speech content could shift probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$903
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump verbally naming Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu (90-97% implied probability) during his scheduled Address to the Nation and Easter lunch on April 1, amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions highlighted by Trump's March 31 warning to allies to secure their own oil supplies lacking support for operations against Iran, coupled with Iran's IRGC threat yesterday to target U.S. tech firms starting today. High odds also price in mentions of California Governor Newsom (76%), Kamala Harris (68%), and others like Ilhan Omar (66%) as Trump addresses domestic critics and foreign adversaries in public speeches through April 30. Recent cabinet shifts, including Kristi Noem's DHS removal and Markwayne Mullin's confirmation last week, add context but focus remains on rhetorical targets in ongoing geopolitical and partisan discourse. Late-breaking diplomatic developments or speech content could shift probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$903
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump name in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Netanyahu" at 97%, followed by "Newsom / Newscum" at 89%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will Trump name in April?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will Trump name in April?," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump name in April?" is "Netanyahu" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Newsom / Newscum" at 89%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump name in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.