Apple's Q2 FY2026 earnings release on April 30 served as the primary catalyst for AAPL's strong performance during the week of April 27, posting record revenue of $111.2 billion (up 17% year-over-year) and diluted EPS of $2.01 (up 22%), exceeding analyst estimates amid robust demand for AI-enhanced iPhones and improved China sales. The shares surged 3.24% to close at $280.14 on May 1, reaching an intraday high of $287.22 after opening near $279, reflecting trader consensus on sustained services growth and a $100 billion buyback authorization. With market cap at $4.11 trillion and a forward P/E around 34x, implied probabilities on Polymarket capture this post-earnings momentum, though volatility persists ahead of Q3 results estimated for July 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAAPL$280.21$280.21 +4.48%
$32,887 Vol.
May 1, 2026
↑ $296
No
↑ $292
No
↑ $288
No
↑ $284
Yes
↑ $280
Yes
↑ $276
Yes
↑ $272
Yes
↓ $268
Yes
↓ $264
No
↓ $260
No
↓ $256
No
↓ $252
No
↓ $248
No
↓ $244
No
AAPL$280.21$280.21 +4.48%
$32,887 Vol.
↑ $296
$754 Vol.
No
↑ $292
$3,756 Vol.
No
↑ $288
$4,501 Vol.
No
↑ $284
$3,847 Vol.
Yes
↑ $280
$2,803 Vol.
Yes
↑ $276
$11,022 Vol.
Yes
↑ $272
$62 Vol.
Yes
↓ $268
$50 Vol.
Yes
↓ $264
$1,070 Vol.
No
↓ $260
$1,334 Vol.
No
↓ $256
$745 Vol.
No
↓ $252
$1,132 Vol.
No
↓ $248
$1,078 Vol.
No
↓ $244
$733 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of April 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of April 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Apple's Q2 FY2026 earnings release on April 30 served as the primary catalyst for AAPL's strong performance during the week of April 27, posting record revenue of $111.2 billion (up 17% year-over-year) and diluted EPS of $2.01 (up 22%), exceeding analyst estimates amid robust demand for AI-enhanced iPhones and improved China sales. The shares surged 3.24% to close at $280.14 on May 1, reaching an intraday high of $287.22 after opening near $279, reflecting trader consensus on sustained services growth and a $100 billion buyback authorization. With market cap at $4.11 trillion and a forward P/E around 34x, implied probabilities on Polymarket capture this post-earnings momentum, though volatility persists ahead of Q3 results estimated for July 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of April 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$32,887End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of April 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of April 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Apple's Q2 FY2026 earnings release on April 30 served as the primary catalyst for AAPL's strong performance during the week of April 27, posting record revenue of $111.2 billion (up 17% year-over-year) and diluted EPS of $2.01 (up 22%), exceeding analyst estimates amid robust demand for AI-enhanced iPhones and improved China sales. The shares surged 3.24% to close at $280.14 on May 1, reaching an intraday high of $287.22 after opening near $279, reflecting trader consensus on sustained services growth and a $100 billion buyback authorization. With market cap at $4.11 trillion and a forward P/E around 34x, implied probabilities on Polymarket capture this post-earnings momentum, though volatility persists ahead of Q3 results estimated for July 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of April 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$32,887End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Apple's Q2 FY2026 earnings release on April 30 served as the primary catalyst for AAPL's strong performance during the week of April 27, posting record revenue of $111.2 billion (up 17% year-over-year) and diluted EPS of $2.01 (up 22%), exceeding analyst estimates amid robust demand for AI-enhanced iPhones and improved China sales. The shares surged 3.24% to close at $280.14 on May 1, reaching an intraday high of $287.22 after opening near $279, reflecting trader consensus on sustained services growth and a $100 billion buyback authorization. With market cap at $4.11 trillion and a forward P/E around 34x, implied probabilities on Polymarket capture this post-earnings momentum, though volatility persists ahead of Q3 results estimated for July 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions