Recent outages on June 2, 5, and 13—marked by elevated error rates on Opus models, API disruptions, and partial service issues—have shaped trader views on Claude downtime this month. Anthropic's rapid scaling of frontier large language models amid surging enterprise and developer demand has repeatedly strained infrastructure, mirroring the March 2026 incident and highlighting capacity bottlenecks during peak loads. With the market closely split between 6-8 and 9-11 days, key variables include stabilization after mid-month fixes, potential new model launches adding traffic, and any further regulatory suspensions of experimental variants. Traders weigh these against Anthropic's historically high uptime outside spikes, recognizing that additional high-traffic events could push totals higher while quick resolutions favor the lower range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6-8 42%
9-11 34%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.3%
$12,879 거래량
$12,879 거래량
2026.06.30
3-5
4%
6-8
42%
9-11
34%
12+
14%
6-8 42%
9-11 34%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.3%
$12,879 거래량
$12,879 거래량
2026.06.30
3-5
$4,244 거래량
4%
6-8
$1,423 거래량
42%
9-11
$1,884 거래량
34%
12+
$2,033 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on June 2, 5, and 13—marked by elevated error rates on Opus models, API disruptions, and partial service issues—have shaped trader views on Claude downtime this month. Anthropic's rapid scaling of frontier large language models amid surging enterprise and developer demand has repeatedly strained infrastructure, mirroring the March 2026 incident and highlighting capacity bottlenecks during peak loads. With the market closely split between 6-8 and 9-11 days, key variables include stabilization after mid-month fixes, potential new model launches adding traffic, and any further regulatory suspensions of experimental variants. Traders weigh these against Anthropic's historically high uptime outside spikes, recognizing that additional high-traffic events could push totals higher while quick resolutions favor the lower range.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
마켓 개설일: May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$12,879종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on June 2, 5, and 13—marked by elevated error rates on Opus models, API disruptions, and partial service issues—have shaped trader views on Claude downtime this month. Anthropic's rapid scaling of frontier large language models amid surging enterprise and developer demand has repeatedly strained infrastructure, mirroring the March 2026 incident and highlighting capacity bottlenecks during peak loads. With the market closely split between 6-8 and 9-11 days, key variables include stabilization after mid-month fixes, potential new model launches adding traffic, and any further regulatory suspensions of experimental variants. Traders weigh these against Anthropic's historically high uptime outside spikes, recognizing that additional high-traffic events could push totals higher while quick resolutions favor the lower range.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
거래량
$12,879종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent outages on June 2, 5, and 13—marked by elevated error rates on Opus models, API disruptions, and partial service issues—have shaped trader views on Claude downtime this month. Anthropic's rapid scaling of frontier large language models amid surging enterprise and developer demand has repeatedly strained infrastructure, mirroring the March 2026 incident and highlighting capacity bottlenecks during peak loads. With the market closely split between 6-8 and 9-11 days, key variables include stabilization after mid-month fixes, potential new model launches adding traffic, and any further regulatory suspensions of experimental variants. Traders weigh these against Anthropic's historically high uptime outside spikes, recognizing that additional high-traffic events could push totals higher while quick resolutions favor the lower range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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