Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour#3 Application gratuite dans l'Apple App Store américain le 18 septembre ?
Muse <1%
Vinted <1%
ChatGPT <1%
TikTok Pro - Events <1%
$16,361 Vol.
$16,361 Vol.

Muse
Non
Vinted
Non

ChatGPT
Non

TikTok Pro - Events
Non

Google Gemini
Non

Google Maps
Non

Polymarket
Non
Muse <1%
Vinted <1%
ChatGPT <1%
TikTok Pro - Events <1%
$16,361 Vol.
$16,361 Vol.

Muse
Non
Vinted
Non

ChatGPT
Non

TikTok Pro - Events
Non

Google Gemini
Non

Google Maps
Non

Polymarket
Non
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Résolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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