Apple's share price, recently closing at $226.84 amid a 2% post-earnings rally, reflects trader optimism from Q4 2024 results showing 6% revenue growth to $94.9 billion and record services revenue offsetting flat iPhone unit sales. Market-implied probabilities for surpassing the March 26 threshold hinge on holiday quarter performance, with China sales recovery and Apple Intelligence AI features rollout as key catalysts—iOS 18.1 adoption already surpassing 50% in weeks. Upcoming January 29, 2025 earnings and potential March product events could drive momentum, though antitrust pressures from DOJ and EU DMA compliance pose downside risks. Consensus analyst targets average $237, implying modest upside amid premium 34x forward P/E valuation versus tech peers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour240 $
98%
245 $
97%
250 $
87%
255 $
44%
260 $
7%
$20 Vol.
240 $
98%
245 $
97%
250 $
87%
255 $
44%
260 $
7%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's share price, recently closing at $226.84 amid a 2% post-earnings rally, reflects trader optimism from Q4 2024 results showing 6% revenue growth to $94.9 billion and record services revenue offsetting flat iPhone unit sales. Market-implied probabilities for surpassing the March 26 threshold hinge on holiday quarter performance, with China sales recovery and Apple Intelligence AI features rollout as key catalysts—iOS 18.1 adoption already surpassing 50% in weeks. Upcoming January 29, 2025 earnings and potential March product events could drive momentum, though antitrust pressures from DOJ and EU DMA compliance pose downside risks. Consensus analyst targets average $237, implying modest upside amid premium 34x forward P/E valuation versus tech peers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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