Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) closing above $400 on March 25, driven primarily by post-election momentum from Elon Musk's alignment with President-elect Trump, boosting optimism around regulatory tailwinds for autonomy and Cybercab production. TSLA shares have rallied 45% since November lows, trading near $415 amid high options-implied volatility of 55%, but face headwinds from softening China EV sales and Q4 delivery misses at 495k vehicles versus 510k expected. Key watch: January 29 Q4 earnings for Robotaxi updates and March 21 PPI data influencing Fed rate cut odds, with support at $390 critical for bulls to sustain the upside breakout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour360 $
99%
370 $
95%
380 $
61%
390 $
31%
400 $
5%
$1,747 Vol.
360 $
99%
370 $
95%
380 $
61%
390 $
31%
400 $
5%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) closing above $400 on March 25, driven primarily by post-election momentum from Elon Musk's alignment with President-elect Trump, boosting optimism around regulatory tailwinds for autonomy and Cybercab production. TSLA shares have rallied 45% since November lows, trading near $415 amid high options-implied volatility of 55%, but face headwinds from softening China EV sales and Q4 delivery misses at 495k vehicles versus 510k expected. Key watch: January 29 Q4 earnings for Robotaxi updates and March 21 PPI data influencing Fed rate cut odds, with support at $390 critical for bulls to sustain the upside breakout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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