Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing above $180 on March 25, driven primarily by the stock's recent 8% rally from $165 lows amid AWS cloud dominance and AI capex optimism, with shares trading at $178.50 intraday as of March 22 close. Key supports include robust Q4 earnings beat (revenue +14% YoY to $170B) and analyst upgrades from JPMorgan citing 15% EBITDA growth forecast, tempered by macro headwinds like persistent 5.1% CPI inflation pressuring Fed rate cut odds post-FOMC March 20. Upcoming CPI release March 26 could sway sentiment if below 0.3% MoM, while $177 50-day SMA marks critical support for resolution. Trader consensus reflects real-money bets hedging tech rotation risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour200 $
94%
205 $
83%
210 $
27%
215 $
3%
220 $
2%
$65 Vol.
200 $
94%
205 $
83%
210 $
27%
215 $
3%
220 $
2%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing above $180 on March 25, driven primarily by the stock's recent 8% rally from $165 lows amid AWS cloud dominance and AI capex optimism, with shares trading at $178.50 intraday as of March 22 close. Key supports include robust Q4 earnings beat (revenue +14% YoY to $170B) and analyst upgrades from JPMorgan citing 15% EBITDA growth forecast, tempered by macro headwinds like persistent 5.1% CPI inflation pressuring Fed rate cut odds post-FOMC March 20. Upcoming CPI release March 26 could sway sentiment if below 0.3% MoM, while $177 50-day SMA marks critical support for resolution. Trader consensus reflects real-money bets hedging tech rotation risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes