Polymarket traders price a roughly 60% implied probability for Google (GOOGL) closing above the target level on March 25, driven primarily by momentum from Alphabet's blowout Q4 2024 earnings—revenue up 12% YoY to $96.5 billion on ad resilience and 26% Google Cloud growth—pushing shares up 10% into the mid-$160s. At 22x forward earnings, valuation remains attractive versus peers amid AI capex optimism. Key supports include Nasdaq strength and potential March 19 FOMC rate cut boosting tech multiples, but antitrust trial overhang and March 28 PCE inflation data pose risks to near-term upside. Resolution turns on the March 25 NYSE close above the strike amid typical volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour290 $
68%
295 $
31%
300 $
3%
305 $
3%
310 $
1%
$4,632 Vol.
290 $
68%
295 $
31%
300 $
3%
305 $
3%
310 $
1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a roughly 60% implied probability for Google (GOOGL) closing above the target level on March 25, driven primarily by momentum from Alphabet's blowout Q4 2024 earnings—revenue up 12% YoY to $96.5 billion on ad resilience and 26% Google Cloud growth—pushing shares up 10% into the mid-$160s. At 22x forward earnings, valuation remains attractive versus peers amid AI capex optimism. Key supports include Nasdaq strength and potential March 19 FOMC rate cut boosting tech multiples, but antitrust trial overhang and March 28 PCE inflation data pose risks to near-term upside. Resolution turns on the March 25 NYSE close above the strike amid typical volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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