Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face a high constitutional threshold for impeachment, requiring a two-thirds vote in the Chamber of Deputies to initiate proceedings followed by a Senate trial, with no successful removals in modern history. A April 2026 congressional inquiry into the Banco Master scandal produced the first formal recommendation targeting Justice Gilmar Mendes and referencing colleagues like Alexandre de Moraes and Dias Toffoli, yet the process has not advanced to formal charges. The STF's own procedural reviews and congressional arithmetic under the current administration further limit momentum through the remainder of 2026. Traders price the "No" outcome at 96.9% because these institutional safeguards and political alignments create substantial barriers. Late-session legislative shifts, major scandals gaining cross-party support, or unexpected Senate alignment could still alter the trajectory before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$82,649 Vol.
$82,649 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$82,649 Vol.
$82,649 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face a high constitutional threshold for impeachment, requiring a two-thirds vote in the Chamber of Deputies to initiate proceedings followed by a Senate trial, with no successful removals in modern history. A April 2026 congressional inquiry into the Banco Master scandal produced the first formal recommendation targeting Justice Gilmar Mendes and referencing colleagues like Alexandre de Moraes and Dias Toffoli, yet the process has not advanced to formal charges. The STF's own procedural reviews and congressional arithmetic under the current administration further limit momentum through the remainder of 2026. Traders price the "No" outcome at 96.9% because these institutional safeguards and political alignments create substantial barriers. Late-session legislative shifts, major scandals gaining cross-party support, or unexpected Senate alignment could still alter the trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$82,649Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face a high constitutional threshold for impeachment, requiring a two-thirds vote in the Chamber of Deputies to initiate proceedings followed by a Senate trial, with no successful removals in modern history. A April 2026 congressional inquiry into the Banco Master scandal produced the first formal recommendation targeting Justice Gilmar Mendes and referencing colleagues like Alexandre de Moraes and Dias Toffoli, yet the process has not advanced to formal charges. The STF's own procedural reviews and congressional arithmetic under the current administration further limit momentum through the remainder of 2026. Traders price the "No" outcome at 96.9% because these institutional safeguards and political alignments create substantial barriers. Late-session legislative shifts, major scandals gaining cross-party support, or unexpected Senate alignment could still alter the trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82,649Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices face a high constitutional threshold for impeachment, requiring a two-thirds vote in the Chamber of Deputies to initiate proceedings followed by a Senate trial, with no successful removals in modern history. A April 2026 congressional inquiry into the Banco Master scandal produced the first formal recommendation targeting Justice Gilmar Mendes and referencing colleagues like Alexandre de Moraes and Dias Toffoli, yet the process has not advanced to formal charges. The STF's own procedural reviews and congressional arithmetic under the current administration further limit momentum through the remainder of 2026. Traders price the "No" outcome at 96.9% because these institutional safeguards and political alignments create substantial barriers. Late-session legislative shifts, major scandals gaining cross-party support, or unexpected Senate alignment could still alter the trajectory before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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