Brazil's Senate maintains a high procedural threshold for impeaching STF justices, requiring a two-thirds majority and formal committee review, with multiple past petitions against figures such as Alexandre de Moraes dismissed outright by Senate leadership for lacking substance. Institutional protections have held amid polarized disputes, including post-2025 convictions of former President Jair Bolsonaro, while the court itself has advanced internal rules to clarify removal standards ahead of the 2026 elections. This combination of legislative shields, historical outcomes, and limited near-term Senate shifts underpins the 96.9% trader consensus on "No." A sudden major scandal or rapid post-election realignment could still alter dynamics before year-end, though both remain low-probability triggers within the short window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$82,649 Vol.
$82,649 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$82,649 Vol.
$82,649 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate maintains a high procedural threshold for impeaching STF justices, requiring a two-thirds majority and formal committee review, with multiple past petitions against figures such as Alexandre de Moraes dismissed outright by Senate leadership for lacking substance. Institutional protections have held amid polarized disputes, including post-2025 convictions of former President Jair Bolsonaro, while the court itself has advanced internal rules to clarify removal standards ahead of the 2026 elections. This combination of legislative shields, historical outcomes, and limited near-term Senate shifts underpins the 96.9% trader consensus on "No." A sudden major scandal or rapid post-election realignment could still alter dynamics before year-end, though both remain low-probability triggers within the short window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$82,649Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate maintains a high procedural threshold for impeaching STF justices, requiring a two-thirds majority and formal committee review, with multiple past petitions against figures such as Alexandre de Moraes dismissed outright by Senate leadership for lacking substance. Institutional protections have held amid polarized disputes, including post-2025 convictions of former President Jair Bolsonaro, while the court itself has advanced internal rules to clarify removal standards ahead of the 2026 elections. This combination of legislative shields, historical outcomes, and limited near-term Senate shifts underpins the 96.9% trader consensus on "No." A sudden major scandal or rapid post-election realignment could still alter dynamics before year-end, though both remain low-probability triggers within the short window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82,649Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate maintains a high procedural threshold for impeaching STF justices, requiring a two-thirds majority and formal committee review, with multiple past petitions against figures such as Alexandre de Moraes dismissed outright by Senate leadership for lacking substance. Institutional protections have held amid polarized disputes, including post-2025 convictions of former President Jair Bolsonaro, while the court itself has advanced internal rules to clarify removal standards ahead of the 2026 elections. This combination of legislative shields, historical outcomes, and limited near-term Senate shifts underpins the 96.9% trader consensus on "No." A sudden major scandal or rapid post-election realignment could still alter dynamics before year-end, though both remain low-probability triggers within the short window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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