Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) has never seen a justice removed by Senate impeachment, a process requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) after Chamber approval under strict procedural rules. Recent requests targeting ministers such as Alexandre de Moraes have followed familiar patterns without advancing, while STF actions—including a December 2025 reinterpretation of impeachment statutes—have raised additional hurdles. Right-wing Senate candidates in the October 2026 elections have campaigned on the issue, yet polling and internal projections indicate any supportive bloc would fall well short of the threshold even after the new composition takes office in 2027. The compressed window through December 2026 further constrains momentum. Late-breaking developments capable of forging broad cross-party consensus could theoretically alter trajectories, though none have materialized to date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
4% chance
$83,913 Vol.
$83,913 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
4% chance
$83,913 Vol.
$83,913 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) has never seen a justice removed by Senate impeachment, a process requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) after Chamber approval under strict procedural rules. Recent requests targeting ministers such as Alexandre de Moraes have followed familiar patterns without advancing, while STF actions—including a December 2025 reinterpretation of impeachment statutes—have raised additional hurdles. Right-wing Senate candidates in the October 2026 elections have campaigned on the issue, yet polling and internal projections indicate any supportive bloc would fall well short of the threshold even after the new composition takes office in 2027. The compressed window through December 2026 further constrains momentum. Late-breaking developments capable of forging broad cross-party consensus could theoretically alter trajectories, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$83,913Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) has never seen a justice removed by Senate impeachment, a process requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) after Chamber approval under strict procedural rules. Recent requests targeting ministers such as Alexandre de Moraes have followed familiar patterns without advancing, while STF actions—including a December 2025 reinterpretation of impeachment statutes—have raised additional hurdles. Right-wing Senate candidates in the October 2026 elections have campaigned on the issue, yet polling and internal projections indicate any supportive bloc would fall well short of the threshold even after the new composition takes office in 2027. The compressed window through December 2026 further constrains momentum. Late-breaking developments capable of forging broad cross-party consensus could theoretically alter trajectories, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$83,913Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) has never seen a justice removed by Senate impeachment, a process requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) after Chamber approval under strict procedural rules. Recent requests targeting ministers such as Alexandre de Moraes have followed familiar patterns without advancing, while STF actions—including a December 2025 reinterpretation of impeachment statutes—have raised additional hurdles. Right-wing Senate candidates in the October 2026 elections have campaigned on the issue, yet polling and internal projections indicate any supportive bloc would fall well short of the threshold even after the new composition takes office in 2027. The compressed window through December 2026 further constrains momentum. Late-breaking developments capable of forging broad cross-party consensus could theoretically alter trajectories, though none have materialized to date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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