Dalton Eatherly, the controversial livestreamer known as Chud the Builder for his confrontational IRL content and frequent use of racial slurs, faces attempted murder and related felony charges after a May 13 shooting outside a Tennessee courthouse. Court records and surveillance footage indicate he fired on Joshua Fox in a public area with multiple witnesses before any physical altercation escalated, prompting authorities to set a $1.25 million bond that reflects the case’s seriousness. Traders see these factors—combined with Eatherly’s documented pattern of provocative encounters—as driving the 73% market-implied probability of conviction, though his self-defense claims and the high evidentiary bar for a full trial remain untested swing factors ahead of upcoming preliminary hearings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly, the controversial livestreamer known as Chud the Builder for his confrontational IRL content and frequent use of racial slurs, faces attempted murder and related felony charges after a May 13 shooting outside a Tennessee courthouse. Court records and surveillance footage indicate he fired on Joshua Fox in a public area with multiple witnesses before any physical altercation escalated, prompting authorities to set a $1.25 million bond that reflects the case’s seriousness. Traders see these factors—combined with Eatherly’s documented pattern of provocative encounters—as driving the 73% market-implied probability of conviction, though his self-defense claims and the high evidentiary bar for a full trial remain untested swing factors ahead of upcoming preliminary hearings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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