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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam

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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam

BJP 95.6%

INC 2.9%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$61,311 Vol.

BJP 95.6%

INC 2.9%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$61,311 Vol.

Le Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections à l’Assemblée législative de l’Assam en 2026 ? icon

BJP

$11,856 Vol.

96%

Le Congrès national indien (INC) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam en 2026 ? icon

INC

$7,409 Vol.

3%

Le All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam de 2026 ? icon

AITC

$4,519 Vol.

<1%

Le Parti communiste d'Inde (marxiste) (CPI(M)) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam en 2026 ? icon

CPI(M)

$4,847 Vol.

<1%

Le Parti du Congrès Nationaliste (NCP) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam en 2026 ? icon

NCP

$4,222 Vol.

<1%

Le All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) remportera-t-il le plus grand nombre de sièges lors de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam de 2026 ? icon

AIUDF

$4,933 Vol.

<1%

Le Front populaire du Bodoland (BPF) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections à l’Assemblée législative de l’Assam en 2026 ? icon

BPF

$4,474 Vol.

<1%

Le Parti communiste de l'Inde (CPI) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections législatives de l'Assam en 2026 ? icon

CPI

$9,171 Vol.

<1%

Le Parti national du peuple (NPEP) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections législatives de l'Assemblée de l'Assam en 2026 ? icon

NPEP

$5,221 Vol.

<1%

Le Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam de 2026 ? icon

AGP

$4,659 Vol.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Post-election surveys and exit polls following the April 9 Assam Legislative Assembly voting—marked by record 76% turnout—project the incumbent BJP-led NDA alliance securing 90-102 of 126 seats, well above the 64-seat majority threshold, driving trader consensus to 95.5% implied probability for BJP victory. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's focus on development, job creation, and peace has bolstered incumbency advantages amid a fragmented opposition, with INC alliances polling at 22-32 seats. Consistent pre-poll data from sources like ABP-Matrize reinforces this positioning. Results await counting on May 4; a dramatic upset would require unforeseen vote shifts, EVM discrepancies, or coalition realignments, though historical patterns favor poll accuracy in state elections.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$61,311
Date de fin
9 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Post-election surveys and exit polls following the April 9 Assam Legislative Assembly voting—marked by record 76% turnout—project the incumbent BJP-led NDA alliance securing 90-102 of 126 seats, well above the 64-seat majority threshold, driving trader consensus to 95.5% implied probability for BJP victory. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's focus on development, job creation, and peace has bolstered incumbency advantages amid a fragmented opposition, with INC alliances polling at 22-32 seats. Consistent pre-poll data from sources like ABP-Matrize reinforces this positioning. Results await counting on May 4; a dramatic upset would require unforeseen vote shifts, EVM discrepancies, or coalition realignments, though historical patterns favor poll accuracy in state elections.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$61,311
Date de fin
9 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « BJP » à 96%, suivi de « INC » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 96¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam » a généré $61.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 23, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam » est « BJP » à 96%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « INC » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections à l'Assemblée législative de l'Assam » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.