Current CDC Travel Health Notices show no Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) designations, reflecting the absence of any disease outbreak meeting the agency’s extreme-risk threshold where no effective precautions exist. Contained Ebola activity in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and a recent hantavirus event remain at lower advisory levels, while dengue warnings stay at Level 1. Official surveillance data indicate case trends and transmission patterns do not yet approach the sustained high-fatality or novel-pathogen criteria historically required for Level 4 issuance outside major pandemics. Traders therefore assign a 77% implied probability to “No” by December 31, 2026, pending any rapid escalation that would trigger new CDC model runs or designations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe CDC émet un avertissement de niveau 4 d'ici le 31 décembre ?
Oui
$71,851 Vol.
$71,851 Vol.
Oui
$71,851 Vol.
$71,851 Vol.
A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current CDC Travel Health Notices show no Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) designations, reflecting the absence of any disease outbreak meeting the agency’s extreme-risk threshold where no effective precautions exist. Contained Ebola activity in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and a recent hantavirus event remain at lower advisory levels, while dengue warnings stay at Level 1. Official surveillance data indicate case trends and transmission patterns do not yet approach the sustained high-fatality or novel-pathogen criteria historically required for Level 4 issuance outside major pandemics. Traders therefore assign a 77% implied probability to “No” by December 31, 2026, pending any rapid escalation that would trigger new CDC model runs or designations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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