Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from mid-August show Luizianne Lins, Cid Gomes, and Capitão Wagner clustered within roughly three points at the top of Ceará’s Senate race for the two available seats, with Alcides Fernandes trailing but still viable. This narrow spread, combined with the multi-candidate field and limited name recognition for several others, leaves second place unresolved. Official candidacy registrations closed only days ago, so campaign visibility, coalition building, and regional turnout patterns in the coming weeks could quickly reorder the standings. Traders price the listed contenders near even money precisely because no single candidate has established a durable lead for the second slot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlcides Fernandes 45%
Lino Alves 45%
Luizianne 45%
Reginaldo 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Alcides Fernandes
45%
Lino Alves
45%
Luizianne
45%
Reginaldo
45%
Catarina Matos
44%
Capitão Wagner
44%
Guilherme Theophilo
44%
Cid Gomes
43%
Alcides Fernandes 45%
Lino Alves 45%
Luizianne 45%
Reginaldo 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Alcides Fernandes
$0 Vol.
45%
Lino Alves
$0 Vol.
45%
Luizianne
$0 Vol.
45%
Reginaldo
$0 Vol.
45%
Catarina Matos
$0 Vol.
44%
Capitão Wagner
$0 Vol.
44%
Guilherme Theophilo
$0 Vol.
44%
Cid Gomes
$0 Vol.
43%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from mid-August show Luizianne Lins, Cid Gomes, and Capitão Wagner clustered within roughly three points at the top of Ceará’s Senate race for the two available seats, with Alcides Fernandes trailing but still viable. This narrow spread, combined with the multi-candidate field and limited name recognition for several others, leaves second place unresolved. Official candidacy registrations closed only days ago, so campaign visibility, coalition building, and regional turnout patterns in the coming weeks could quickly reorder the standings. Traders price the listed contenders near even money precisely because no single candidate has established a durable lead for the second slot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from mid-August show Luizianne Lins, Cid Gomes, and Capitão Wagner clustered within roughly three points at the top of Ceará’s Senate race for the two available seats, with Alcides Fernandes trailing but still viable. This narrow spread, combined with the multi-candidate field and limited name recognition for several others, leaves second place unresolved. Official candidacy registrations closed only days ago, so campaign visibility, coalition building, and regional turnout patterns in the coming weeks could quickly reorder the standings. Traders price the listed contenders near even money precisely because no single candidate has established a durable lead for the second slot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys from mid-August show Luizianne Lins, Cid Gomes, and Capitão Wagner clustered within roughly three points at the top of Ceará’s Senate race for the two available seats, with Alcides Fernandes trailing but still viable. This narrow spread, combined with the multi-candidate field and limited name recognition for several others, leaves second place unresolved. Official candidacy registrations closed only days ago, so campaign visibility, coalition building, and regional turnout patterns in the coming weeks could quickly reorder the standings. Traders price the listed contenders near even money precisely because no single candidate has established a durable lead for the second slot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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