Ongoing geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day of shut-in production from Gulf producers, have tightened global balances and lifted WTI crude near $93 per barrel in early June 2026. Large second-quarter inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day have reinforced these levels despite modest OPEC+ adjustments. Market-implied odds of 68% for a June settlement above $84 reflect trader consensus that near-term supply constraints will dominate, though expectations of gradual production recovery and resumed shipping flows later in the month introduce some downward pressure. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting, weekly U.S. inventory data, and any ceasefire progress that could influence final contract settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÀ quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
>84 $ 68%
77 $–84 $ 17%
70 $ - 77 $ 6.3%
63 $-70 $ 2.1%
$218,239 Vol.
$218,239 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<42 $
<1%
42 $-49 $
1%
49 $–56 $
1%
56 $-63 $
1%
63 $-70 $
2%
70 $ - 77 $
6%
77 $–84 $
17%
>84 $
68%
>84 $ 68%
77 $–84 $ 17%
70 $ - 77 $ 6.3%
63 $-70 $ 2.1%
$218,239 Vol.
$218,239 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<42 $
$21,893 Vol.
<1%
42 $-49 $
$10,625 Vol.
1%
49 $–56 $
$12,658 Vol.
1%
56 $-63 $
$14,818 Vol.
1%
63 $-70 $
$28,068 Vol.
2%
70 $ - 77 $
$18,822 Vol.
6%
77 $–84 $
$19,296 Vol.
17%
>84 $
$92,059 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Ongoing geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day of shut-in production from Gulf producers, have tightened global balances and lifted WTI crude near $93 per barrel in early June 2026. Large second-quarter inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day have reinforced these levels despite modest OPEC+ adjustments. Market-implied odds of 68% for a June settlement above $84 reflect trader consensus that near-term supply constraints will dominate, though expectations of gradual production recovery and resumed shipping flows later in the month introduce some downward pressure. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting, weekly U.S. inventory data, and any ceasefire progress that could influence final contract settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$218,239Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Ongoing geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day of shut-in production from Gulf producers, have tightened global balances and lifted WTI crude near $93 per barrel in early June 2026. Large second-quarter inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day have reinforced these levels despite modest OPEC+ adjustments. Market-implied odds of 68% for a June settlement above $84 reflect trader consensus that near-term supply constraints will dominate, though expectations of gradual production recovery and resumed shipping flows later in the month introduce some downward pressure. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting, weekly U.S. inventory data, and any ceasefire progress that could influence final contract settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$218,239Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ongoing geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day of shut-in production from Gulf producers, have tightened global balances and lifted WTI crude near $93 per barrel in early June 2026. Large second-quarter inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day have reinforced these levels despite modest OPEC+ adjustments. Market-implied odds of 68% for a June settlement above $84 reflect trader consensus that near-term supply constraints will dominate, though expectations of gradual production recovery and resumed shipping flows later in the month introduce some downward pressure. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting, weekly U.S. inventory data, and any ceasefire progress that could influence final contract settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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