Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Claude 4.7 release on or before April 16 at 93.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from over 500,000 lines of Anthropic's source code exposed via npm packages, revealing codenames like Capybara/Mythos and capabilities such as 1M-token context windows and superior coding benchmarks. Reports from The Information confirm preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside an AI design tool for websites, aligning with today's deadline; recent Claude Code desktop app redesigns and backend 500 errors signal rollout prep. Historical patterns—Opus 4.6 just 73 days after 4.5—bolster expectations. Delays could arise from safety evaluations, integration issues, or competitive shifts like OpenAI's moves, potentially pushing resolution later.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe ou avant le 16 avril 92%
Non publié avant le 30 avril 2.5%
17 avril 2.4%
20 avril 1.2%
NOUVEAU
$137,782 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$137,782 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Le ou avant le 16 avril
92%
17 avril
2%
18 avril
1%
19 avril
<1%
20 avril
1%
21 avril
1%
22 avril
<1%
23 avril
<1%
24 avril
<1%
25 avril
<1%
26 avril
<1%
27 avril
<1%
28 avril
<1%
29 avril
<1%
30 avril
<1%
Non publié avant le 30 avril
3%
Le ou avant le 16 avril 92%
Non publié avant le 30 avril 2.5%
17 avril 2.4%
20 avril 1.2%
NOUVEAU
$137,782 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$137,782 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Le ou avant le 16 avril
$63,116 Vol.
92%
17 avril
$12,081 Vol.
2%
18 avril
$7,005 Vol.
1%
19 avril
$6,134 Vol.
<1%
20 avril
$7,044 Vol.
1%
21 avril
$5,457 Vol.
1%
22 avril
$3,590 Vol.
<1%
23 avril
$3,451 Vol.
<1%
24 avril
$3,628 Vol.
<1%
25 avril
$3,922 Vol.
<1%
26 avril
$3,850 Vol.
<1%
27 avril
$3,827 Vol.
<1%
28 avril
$3,263 Vol.
<1%
29 avril
$3,066 Vol.
<1%
30 avril
$3,032 Vol.
<1%
Non publié avant le 30 avril
$8,186 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Claude 4.7 release on or before April 16 at 93.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from over 500,000 lines of Anthropic's source code exposed via npm packages, revealing codenames like Capybara/Mythos and capabilities such as 1M-token context windows and superior coding benchmarks. Reports from The Information confirm preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside an AI design tool for websites, aligning with today's deadline; recent Claude Code desktop app redesigns and backend 500 errors signal rollout prep. Historical patterns—Opus 4.6 just 73 days after 4.5—bolster expectations. Delays could arise from safety evaluations, integration issues, or competitive shifts like OpenAI's moves, potentially pushing resolution later.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Volume
$137,782Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Claude 4.7 release on or before April 16 at 93.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from over 500,000 lines of Anthropic's source code exposed via npm packages, revealing codenames like Capybara/Mythos and capabilities such as 1M-token context windows and superior coding benchmarks. Reports from The Information confirm preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside an AI design tool for websites, aligning with today's deadline; recent Claude Code desktop app redesigns and backend 500 errors signal rollout prep. Historical patterns—Opus 4.6 just 73 days after 4.5—bolster expectations. Delays could arise from safety evaluations, integration issues, or competitive shifts like OpenAI's moves, potentially pushing resolution later.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$137,782Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Claude 4.7 release on or before April 16 at 93.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from over 500,000 lines of Anthropic's source code exposed via npm packages, revealing codenames like Capybara/Mythos and capabilities such as 1M-token context windows and superior coding benchmarks. Reports from The Information confirm preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside an AI design tool for websites, aligning with today's deadline; recent Claude Code desktop app redesigns and backend 500 errors signal rollout prep. Historical patterns—Opus 4.6 just 73 days after 4.5—bolster expectations. Delays could arise from safety evaluations, integration issues, or competitive shifts like OpenAI's moves, potentially pushing resolution later.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes