Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe ou avant le 16 avril 81%
17 avril 9.3%
Non publié avant le 30 avril 1.9%
20 avril 1.3%
NOUVEAU
$105,782 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$105,782 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Le ou avant le 16 avril
81%
17 avril
9%
18 avril
<1%
19 avril
<1%
20 avril
1%
21 avril
1%
22 avril
<1%
23 avril
1%
24 avril
<1%
25 avril
<1%
26 avril
<1%
27 avril
<1%
28 avril
<1%
29 avril
<1%
30 avril
<1%
Non publié avant le 30 avril
2%
Le ou avant le 16 avril 81%
17 avril 9.3%
Non publié avant le 30 avril 1.9%
20 avril 1.3%
NOUVEAU
$105,782 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$105,782 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Le ou avant le 16 avril
$50,091 Vol.
81%
17 avril
$8,744 Vol.
9%
18 avril
$5,344 Vol.
<1%
19 avril
$4,288 Vol.
<1%
20 avril
$4,392 Vol.
1%
21 avril
$3,567 Vol.
1%
22 avril
$2,976 Vol.
<1%
23 avril
$2,736 Vol.
1%
24 avril
$2,781 Vol.
<1%
25 avril
$3,122 Vol.
<1%
26 avril
$3,051 Vol.
<1%
27 avril
$3,027 Vol.
<1%
28 avril
$2,072 Vol.
<1%
29 avril
$1,922 Vol.
<1%
30 avril
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
Non publié avant le 30 avril
$6,153 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Volume
$105,782Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$105,782Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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