Databricks' closely matched market-implied odds across IPO market-cap brackets and a potential delay beyond 2027 reflect uncertainty around timing and valuation multiples in the current AI-driven IPO environment. The company’s latest private valuation reached $134 billion following its December 2025 Series L round, with secondary trading implying up to $170 billion by mid-2026 on annualized recurring revenue exceeding $5.4 billion and growth above 50% year-over-year. Competitive positioning in data platforms and AI infrastructure, including partnerships with major cloud providers, supports premium multiples relative to peers like Snowflake, yet the absence of an S-1 filing keeps resolution dependent on broader market conditions and capital-structure moves such as recent debt raises. Traders appear to price in a wide range of outcomes based on these fundamentals versus execution risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour150-200 milliards $ 90%
<150 milliards $ 85%
450 milliards $ + 83%
400 à 450 milliards de dollars 81%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2027
<150 milliards $
85%
150-200 milliards $
90%
200 M$–250 M$
37%
250 à 300 milliards de dollars
37%
300-350 milliards $
43%
350–400 milliards $
36%
400 à 450 milliards de dollars
81%
450 milliards $ +
83%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
59%
150-200 milliards $ 90%
<150 milliards $ 85%
450 milliards $ + 83%
400 à 450 milliards de dollars 81%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2027
<150 milliards $
$0 Vol.
85%
150-200 milliards $
$0 Vol.
90%
200 M$–250 M$
$0 Vol.
37%
250 à 300 milliards de dollars
$0 Vol.
37%
300-350 milliards $
$0 Vol.
43%
350–400 milliards $
$0 Vol.
36%
400 à 450 milliards de dollars
$0 Vol.
81%
450 milliards $ +
$0 Vol.
83%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
$54 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' closely matched market-implied odds across IPO market-cap brackets and a potential delay beyond 2027 reflect uncertainty around timing and valuation multiples in the current AI-driven IPO environment. The company’s latest private valuation reached $134 billion following its December 2025 Series L round, with secondary trading implying up to $170 billion by mid-2026 on annualized recurring revenue exceeding $5.4 billion and growth above 50% year-over-year. Competitive positioning in data platforms and AI infrastructure, including partnerships with major cloud providers, supports premium multiples relative to peers like Snowflake, yet the absence of an S-1 filing keeps resolution dependent on broader market conditions and capital-structure moves such as recent debt raises. Traders appear to price in a wide range of outcomes based on these fundamentals versus execution risks.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volume
$54Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' closely matched market-implied odds across IPO market-cap brackets and a potential delay beyond 2027 reflect uncertainty around timing and valuation multiples in the current AI-driven IPO environment. The company’s latest private valuation reached $134 billion following its December 2025 Series L round, with secondary trading implying up to $170 billion by mid-2026 on annualized recurring revenue exceeding $5.4 billion and growth above 50% year-over-year. Competitive positioning in data platforms and AI infrastructure, including partnerships with major cloud providers, supports premium multiples relative to peers like Snowflake, yet the absence of an S-1 filing keeps resolution dependent on broader market conditions and capital-structure moves such as recent debt raises. Traders appear to price in a wide range of outcomes based on these fundamentals versus execution risks.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$54Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' closely matched market-implied odds across IPO market-cap brackets and a potential delay beyond 2027 reflect uncertainty around timing and valuation multiples in the current AI-driven IPO environment. The company’s latest private valuation reached $134 billion following its December 2025 Series L round, with secondary trading implying up to $170 billion by mid-2026 on annualized recurring revenue exceeding $5.4 billion and growth above 50% year-over-year. Competitive positioning in data platforms and AI infrastructure, including partnerships with major cloud providers, supports premium multiples relative to peers like Snowflake, yet the absence of an S-1 filing keeps resolution dependent on broader market conditions and capital-structure moves such as recent debt raises. Traders appear to price in a wide range of outcomes based on these fundamentals versus execution risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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