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icon for Espírito Santo Élection au Sénat : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Espírito Santo Élection au Sénat : 2e place

icon for Espírito Santo Élection au Sénat : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Espírito Santo Élection au Sénat : 2e place

Renato Casagrande 44%

Rodney Miranda 44%

Sergio Meneguelli 44%

Professeur Fabian 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Renato Casagrande 44%

Rodney Miranda 44%

Sergio Meneguelli 44%

Professeur Fabian 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Renato Casagrande

Renato Casagrande

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rodney Miranda

Rodney Miranda

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sergio Meneguelli

Sergio Meneguelli

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professeur Fabian

Professeur Fabian

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rose de Freitas

Rose de Freitas

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Callegari

Callegari

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Leonardo Monjardim

Leonardo Monjardim

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Evair de Melo

Evair de Melo

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Fabiano Contarato

Fabiano Contarato

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Maguinha Malta

Maguinha Malta

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Marcos do Val

Marcos do Val

$0 Vol.

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features a clear polling leader in former governor Renato Casagrande, leaving a fragmented contest for the second seat among multiple incumbents and party figures including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Sergio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, and Evair de Melo. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Casagrande ahead at 24-32% while the remaining candidates cluster in the single digits to low teens, with high undecided shares sustaining volatility. This spread of viable contenders from distinct parties, combined with limited differentiation on key state issues, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for second place. Late-cycle endorsements, coalition alignments, or turnout shifts among specific voting blocs could still reorder the field before October balloting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features a clear polling leader in former governor Renato Casagrande, leaving a fragmented contest for the second seat among multiple incumbents and party figures including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Sergio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, and Evair de Melo. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Casagrande ahead at 24-32% while the remaining candidates cluster in the single digits to low teens, with high undecided shares sustaining volatility. This spread of viable contenders from distinct parties, combined with limited differentiation on key state issues, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for second place. Late-cycle endorsements, coalition alignments, or turnout shifts among specific voting blocs could still reorder the field before October balloting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Le professeur Fabian remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 à Espírito Santo ?

Le professeur Fabian remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 à Espírito Santo ?

44%
Oui
icon for André do Prado obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?

André do Prado obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?

46%
Oui
icon for Zanata remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District fédéral de 2026 ?

Zanata remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District fédéral de 2026 ?

43%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Espírito Santo Élection au Sénat : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Renato Casagrande » à 44%, suivi de « Rodney Miranda » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Espírito Santo Élection au Sénat : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Espírito Santo Élection au Sénat : 2e place », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Espírito Santo Élection au Sénat : 2e place » est « Renato Casagrande » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Rodney Miranda » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Espírito Santo Élection au Sénat : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.