Alagoas voters face a fragmented field for the October 2026 gubernatorial election, with four confirmed candidates producing tight implied probabilities across the leading names. Recent party conventions finalized slates for Renan Filho (MDB), JHC (PSDB-Cidadania), Márcio Jambo (Democratas), and Lenilda Luna (UP), leaving no candidate with a commanding position in available surveys. Mid-2026 polling showed Renan Filho and JHC statistically tied in the low-to-mid 40s in direct matchups, while smaller shares for the remaining contenders keep the overall race open. The absence of a dominant incumbent or decisive momentum shift since the 2022 cycle sustains the even distribution reflected in trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMárcio Jambo 44%
JHC 42%
Renan Filho 40%
Lenilda Luna 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Márcio Jambo
44%
JHC
42%
Renan Filho
40%
Lenilda Luna
25%
Márcio Jambo 44%
JHC 42%
Renan Filho 40%
Lenilda Luna 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Márcio Jambo
$0 Vol.
44%
JHC
$0 Vol.
42%
Renan Filho
$0 Vol.
40%
Lenilda Luna
$0 Vol.
25%
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alagoas voters face a fragmented field for the October 2026 gubernatorial election, with four confirmed candidates producing tight implied probabilities across the leading names. Recent party conventions finalized slates for Renan Filho (MDB), JHC (PSDB-Cidadania), Márcio Jambo (Democratas), and Lenilda Luna (UP), leaving no candidate with a commanding position in available surveys. Mid-2026 polling showed Renan Filho and JHC statistically tied in the low-to-mid 40s in direct matchups, while smaller shares for the remaining contenders keep the overall race open. The absence of a dominant incumbent or decisive momentum shift since the 2022 cycle sustains the even distribution reflected in trader consensus.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alagoas voters face a fragmented field for the October 2026 gubernatorial election, with four confirmed candidates producing tight implied probabilities across the leading names. Recent party conventions finalized slates for Renan Filho (MDB), JHC (PSDB-Cidadania), Márcio Jambo (Democratas), and Lenilda Luna (UP), leaving no candidate with a commanding position in available surveys. Mid-2026 polling showed Renan Filho and JHC statistically tied in the low-to-mid 40s in direct matchups, while smaller shares for the remaining contenders keep the overall race open. The absence of a dominant incumbent or decisive momentum shift since the 2022 cycle sustains the even distribution reflected in trader consensus.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alagoas voters face a fragmented field for the October 2026 gubernatorial election, with four confirmed candidates producing tight implied probabilities across the leading names. Recent party conventions finalized slates for Renan Filho (MDB), JHC (PSDB-Cidadania), Márcio Jambo (Democratas), and Lenilda Luna (UP), leaving no candidate with a commanding position in available surveys. Mid-2026 polling showed Renan Filho and JHC statistically tied in the low-to-mid 40s in direct matchups, while smaller shares for the remaining contenders keep the overall race open. The absence of a dominant incumbent or decisive momentum shift since the 2022 cycle sustains the even distribution reflected in trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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