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icon for Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place

Angelo Coronel 44%

Carlos Sodré 44%

Gregorio Gould 44%

Jaques Wagner 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Angelo Coronel 44%

Carlos Sodré 44%

Gregorio Gould 44%

Jaques Wagner 44%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Angelo Coronel

Angelo Coronel

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carlos Sodré

Carlos Sodré

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Gregorio Gould

Gregorio Gould

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Jaques Wagner

Jaques Wagner

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marcelo Carvalho

Marcelo Carvalho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marcelo Millet

Marcelo Millet

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marcelo Santtana

Marcelo Santtana

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professora Delliana

Professora Delliana

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$0 Vol.

44%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Bahia’s two Senate seats shows a tight contest driven by the PT’s decision to run ex-governor Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner on the same ticket, alongside the opposing alliance backing incumbent Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL). August surveys place the two PT names comfortably ahead, yet the gap between the projected second- and third-place finishers remains narrow because of high undecided shares, overlapping voter bases in the PT-leaning interior, and Coronel’s incumbency advantages in resource allocation. Party realignments after the 2025 national split involving União Brasil, combined with the concurrent gubernatorial race, continue to shape coalition incentives and could shift second-place probabilities if turnout patterns or last-minute endorsements favor one opposition name over the other before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Bahia’s two Senate seats shows a tight contest driven by the PT’s decision to run ex-governor Rui Costa and Jaques Wagner on the same ticket, alongside the opposing alliance backing incumbent Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL). August surveys place the two PT names comfortably ahead, yet the gap between the projected second- and third-place finishers remains narrow because of high undecided shares, overlapping voter bases in the PT-leaning interior, and Coronel’s incumbency advantages in resource allocation. Party realignments after the 2025 national split involving União Brasil, combined with the concurrent gubernatorial race, continue to shape coalition incentives and could shift second-place probabilities if turnout patterns or last-minute endorsements favor one opposition name over the other before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Will Angelo Coronel win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?

Will Angelo Coronel win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?

44%
icon for Avenir Rosa remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

Avenir Rosa remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

44%
Oui
icon for Cintia Dias remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Goiás en 2026 ?

Cintia Dias remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Goiás en 2026 ?

50%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Angelo Coronel » à 44%, suivi de « Carlos Sodré » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place » est « Angelo Coronel » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Carlos Sodré » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.