National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 85–86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) today under south winds of 10–15 mph gusting to 25 mph and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Observations confirm midday temperatures already surpassing 74°F after an early low near 56°F, aligning with seasonal averages of 85°F for early May and warm advection from southerly flow. This strong scientific consensus reflects model agreement on ample daytime heating. Realistic challenges would require an improbable sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cold front, with no such signals in current upper-air analyses or ensemble guidance. Updated observations and evening reports will finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on May 4?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 4?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$31,816 Vol.
$31,816 Vol.
4 mai 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$31,816 Vol.
$31,816 Vol.
4 mai 2026
47°F or below
$3,809 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,312 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,596 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$984 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,537 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$947 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$847 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$847 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,056 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$7,761 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$11,121 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 85–86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) today under south winds of 10–15 mph gusting to 25 mph and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Observations confirm midday temperatures already surpassing 74°F after an early low near 56°F, aligning with seasonal averages of 85°F for early May and warm advection from southerly flow. This strong scientific consensus reflects model agreement on ample daytime heating. Realistic challenges would require an improbable sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cold front, with no such signals in current upper-air analyses or ensemble guidance. Updated observations and evening reports will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$31,816Date de fin
4 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 85–86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) today under south winds of 10–15 mph gusting to 25 mph and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Observations confirm midday temperatures already surpassing 74°F after an early low near 56°F, aligning with seasonal averages of 85°F for early May and warm advection from southerly flow. This strong scientific consensus reflects model agreement on ample daytime heating. Realistic challenges would require an improbable sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cold front, with no such signals in current upper-air analyses or ensemble guidance. Updated observations and evening reports will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$31,816Date de fin
4 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 85–86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) today under south winds of 10–15 mph gusting to 25 mph and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Observations confirm midday temperatures already surpassing 74°F after an early low near 56°F, aligning with seasonal averages of 85°F for early May and warm advection from southerly flow. This strong scientific consensus reflects model agreement on ample daytime heating. Realistic challenges would require an improbable sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cold front, with no such signals in current upper-air analyses or ensemble guidance. Updated observations and evening reports will finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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